Why This Beaten-Down Medical Device Stock Could Be Your Best Investment for the Next 5 Years
Key Takeaways
Medical device specialist DexCom (DXCM 2. However, 59%) has encountered significant headwinds in the past year. Nevertheless, The company's financial results haven't been quite up to the market's standards, and...
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July 20, 2025
08:45 AM
The Motley Fool
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Medical device specialist DexCom (DXCM 2
However, 59%) has encountered significant headwinds in the past year
Nevertheless, The company's financial results haven't been quite up to the market's standards, and broader market volatility caused by President Donald Trump's trade policies isn't helping either
The stock is down 26% over the trailing-12-month period, amid market uncertainty
Yet even with all these challenges, DexCom could be a terrific performer in the next five years (remarkable data)
Here's why, given current economic conditions
Moreover, There's plenty of white space ahead DexCom continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems, which are devices that help track blood sugar levels in patients with diabetes, in light of current trends
However, On the other hand, CGMs have at least two advantages: They make measurements automatically, and they make them as often as every five minutes
Consistently monitoring blood glucose levels helps people with diabetes make better health decisions, in today's financial world
Conversely, That's why CGM devices lead to imved outcomes, including less time spent in hyperglycemia
Moreover, Image source: Getty Images
DexCom has significantly increased its installed base over the years
In 2024, it had over 2. 5 million customers worldwide
Moreover, However, the company remains well-positioned to capitalize on a massive global opportunity. , DexCom estimates that there are more than 4
At the same time, 5 million diabetes patients on insulin therapy who aren't on CGM yet despite being eligible for third-party coverage for the nology
And that's just the U (quite telling), given the current landscape
At the same time, , one of the more advanced countries in terms of CGM penetration
DexCom has typically targeted patients who use insulin, and third-party payers have been more willing to cover these populations
On the other hand, However, last year, it launched Stelo, an over-the-counter CGM option for diabetes patients who aren't on insulin and for people with prediabetes
This move significantly expanded the company's addressable market
CGM penetration in the U, in this volatile climate
Moreover, At the same time, For type 2 diabetes patients not on insulin is 5%, and for prediabetes patients less than 1%
DexCom's opportunities both within and outside the U
This analysis suggests that increased adoption of CGM nology has helped its revenue and earnings grow steadily over the past decade, and this trend is ly to continue
DXCM Revenue (Annual) data by YCharts
DexCom's s declined last year due to poor financial results; in the U. , more patients than the company expected took advantage of rebates, leading to lower-than-expected revenue per customer, in this volatile climate
However, since there's still plenty of work to be done in the CGM market, DexCom can address that issue as it continues to make even more headway in this field
That will allow its financial results to imve
Are DexCom's s too expensive
The stock's forward price-to-earnings ratio was recently 41. 5, much higher than the healthcare sector's average of 15
On the other hand, But that forward P/E is on the low end compared to DexCom's average over the past few years: DXCM PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts
On the other hand, The medical device specialist has historically had steep valuation metrics, but has dered market-beating returns anyway
In my view, DexCom can do the same in the next five to 10 years
Investors might also be concerned DexCom's main competitor in the CGM market, Abbott Laboratories
But these rivals have battled it out for years, and there's more than enough space for both to be successful, given the large worldwide CGM opportunity, given the current landscape
Furthermore, DexCom benefits from a network effect, as multiple companies have developed devices for diabetes patients that are compatible with its nology; these include insulin pens and pumps, third-party apps, and the Apple Watch, considering recent developments
The more DexCom's installed base increases, the more attractive its ecosystem becomes to device or app developers looking to target a large population of patients, amid market uncertainty
And as these companies launch more nologies compatible with DexCom's CGM devices, they also become more appealing to patients
This dynamic makes it ly that DexCom will remain a leader in CGM well beyond the next five years, amid market uncertainty
In the meantime, the stock could rebound from its poor performance last year, and der superior returns through the end of the decade.
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