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Why AES Corp. Stock Popped Today

July 9, 2025
11:03 AM
2 min read
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investmentstocksutilitiesfinancialsmarket cyclesseasonal analysiseconomic

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AES is pricier than it looks. Two M&A specialists might decide to buy it anyway.

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2 min read

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investment

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Published

July 9, 2025

11:03 AM

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The Motley Fool

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Key Topics
investmentstocksutilitiesfinancialsmarket cyclesseasonal analysiseconomic

AES is pricier than it looks

Two M&A specialists might decide to buy it anyway

For two weeks straight, s of electric utility AES Corp. 01%) stock have climbed, all on no obvious news -- but today we found out why this stock was hopping

As Barron's reports, AES is "exploring its options, including a possible sale" to one or several "large investment firms. " And so, after two weeks of steady gains, AES took another leap higher this morning, soaring 16% through 10:10 a

Image source: Getty Images

Bloomberg News reports that two investment firms may bid to buy AES: Brookfield Asset Management and BlackRock's Global Infrastructure Partners

And why would they want it

For one thing, AES is viewed as a play on rising demand for electricity to power artificial intelligence data centers

For another, despite its recent, mysterious gains, AES stock remains down 38% over the past year

It makes sense that with AES stock so much cheaper than it once was, mergers and acquisitions specialists might begin wondering if AES is cheap enough to buy

And valued at just 6 times trailing earnings and only 5 times forward earnings, AES stock certainly looks cheap

But case a buyout does not happen, beware: This cheapness comes with caveats

First and foremost, AES carries a boatload of net debt, nearly $30 billion worth

That's enough to push the stock's $7. 9 billion market capitalization up to $37. 3 billion when calculated as enterprise value

Relative to the $1. 3 billion AES earned over the past year, that means the stock trades for a steep enterprise value of 27 times earnings

The stock's even pricier when valued on free cash flow

This may not frighten off Brookfield and BlackRock, but it does worry me

Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned

The Motley Fool recommends Brookfield Asset Management

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