
What Influences Treasury Bill Rates?
Key Takeaways
The yield on Treasury bills, also known as T-bills, is influenced by a number of factors, including the current Fed rate and the rate of inflation.
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June 30, 2025
10:31 PM
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Treasury bills (T-bills) are short-term debt securities issued by the federal government that mature in increments that range from four weeks to a year
They differ from other Treasury-issued securities ( T-bonds and T-notes) by those shorter maturity periods and because they don’t pay periodic interest rates
Instead, T-bills are auctioned by the government at a discount to their face value, and the total return amounts to the difference between what you paid and the face value at maturity
Factors that influence T-bill yieldsHere are some of the factors that influence T-bill yields:Interest rates: T-bill returns tend to move in tandem with the federal funds rate, or Fed rate
Term: Typically, the longer the term, the higher the yield (and thus, the lower the price relative to face value)
This is because investors take a greater risk that rates will go up as they tie up their money for longer periods
Inflation: If the annualized yield on a T-bill falls below the rate of inflation, it becomes less attractive to investors, as they would in effect lose money on their investment
Macroeconomic conditions: In a robust and expanding economy, investors have many options, and T-bill and other bond prices will ly fall (thus increasing the yield) to stay competitive
Conversely, in times of uncertainty, demand for T-bills and their relative safety can increase
This pushes the price higher. »MORE: For a detailed look at how T-bills work, and how to buy them, check out NerdWallet’s beginner’s guide to T-bills
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Learn MoreLearn MoreLearn More the authorRick VanderKnyffRick VanderKnyff is Head of Content, News at NerdWallet
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