UK economy grows by better-than-expected 0.3% in second quarter
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UK economy grows by better-than-expected 0.3% in second quarter

August 14, 2025
06:53 AM
5 min read
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investmenteconomy

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The U.K.'s 0.3% April-June economic growth outpaced a 0.1% analyst forecast.

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August 14, 2025

06:53 AM

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CNBC

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investmenteconomy

Thousands of sunbathers enjoy the hot, sunny weather on Brighton Beach in East Sussex

An amber heat-health alert is active nationwide, with temperatures expected to reach 34°C, during the UK's fourth heatwave of the year.Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty ImagesThe U.K. economy expanded by a better-than-expected 0.3% in the second quarter, according to preliminary estimates from the U.K.'s Office for National Statistics out on Thursday.Economists polled by Reuters had expected the country's gross domestic duct (GDP) to expand by a tepid 0.1% over the period, up from bumper growth of 0.7% in the first quarter.Month-on-month, the economy grew 0.4% in June after a 0.1% contraction in May, failing to shake off the impact of U.S. tariffs and uncertainty."The economy was weak across April and May, with some activity having been brought forward to February and March ahead of Stamp Duty and tariff changes, but then recovered strongly In June," Liz McKeown, director of Economic Statistics at the ONS, ed Thursday

Stamp duty refers to a tax on perty purchases.watch now4:5704:57Respite for Reeves: UK GDP grows faster than expectedSquawk Box EuropeAcross the broader second quarter, growth was led by services, with computer gramming, health and vehicle leasing gaining momentum

Construction also increased, while duction fell back slightly

Quarterly growth was also boosted by d source data for April which, while still showing a contraction, was better than initially estimated, the ONS said."Services also drove growth in June with scientific R&D, engineering and car sales all having a strong month

Within duction, which recovered, manufacture of electronics performed especially well," McKeown noted.The British pound was flat against the dollar after the data release, at $1.3577.Rebound unly to continueU.K

Chancellor Rachel Reeves said the data was positive but "there is more to do to der an economy that works for working people.""I know that the British economy has the key ingredients for success but has felt stuck for too long," she said.Sharon Graham, the general secretary of workers' trade union Unite, meanwhile said the chancellor's fiscal rules, constraining government borrowing, were "shackling the economy."She added that "workers can't wait forever for investment in our public services and industry" in ed s.Houses in Whitby, Yorkshire, U.K.Edwin Remsberg | The Image Bank | Getty ImagesEconomists said it was unly that the positive momentum would continue into the third quarter.After a strong start to the year, the U.K. economy "took a breather" in the second quarter, George Brown, senior economist at Schroders, said in ed s ing the data release."Still, hopes of a sharp rebound are ly to be dashed

The labour market has softened, and capacity constraints mean even tepid growth is generating inflation pressures

With this in mind, we expect the Bank of England to keep rates on hold for the remainder of the year," he noted.Ruth Gregory, deputy chief U.K. economist at Capital Economics, also questioned whether the economy will maintain this pace of growth."The weak global economy will remain a drag on U.K

GDP growth for a while yet

The full drag on investment from April's tax rises has yet to be felt

And the speculation further tax rises in the Autumn Budget will bably keep consumers in a cautious mood

However, today's release suggests the risks to our forecast of a 1.2% rise in GDP in 2025 are now to the upside," she said.BOE cutThe growth data comes days after the Bank of England cut interest rates from 4.25% to 4%, with policy makers weighing sticky inflation — which rose to a hotter-than-expected 3.6% in June from 3.4% in May — against a cooling jobs market and lackluster growth.watch now3:2903:29Economic slowdown hits UK jobs quawk Box EuropeIn a statement last week, the BOE said its monetary policy committee "remains focused on squeezing out any existing or emerging persistent inflationary pressures, to return inflation sustainably to its 2% target in the medium term."It also noted that underlying UK GDP growth "has remained subdued, consistent with a continued, gradual loosening in the labour market.""A margin of slack is judged to have emerged in the economy

Downside domestic and geopolitical risks around economic activity remain, although trade policy uncertainty has diminished somewhat," the bank said, factoring in the U.K.'s trade deal with the U.S. and baseline 10% tariff on its exports to the States.The MPC was initially split on reducing or holding interest rates with four members wanting to hold rates, four others voting to cut and one policymaker voting for a larger 50-basis-point cut

The committee then held a second round of voting to arrive at a majority decision to cut rates by 25 basis points.The voting is a reflection of the "finely balanced situation" the MPC currently faces in terms of the factors driving monetary policy, according to BOE Governor Andrew Bailey."There's an upside risk to inflation, and particularly as to whether... this current increase could persist somewhat more than we expect it to

We don't expect it to actually, but could it?" Bailey told CNBC's Ritika Gupta in an interview. "But... that has to be set in the context of the labor market conditions, which appear to be softening."