UFC 317 Fight Card: Odds, Lines, Prop Bets, Predictions And Picks
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Everything you need to know about Saturday's UFC 317 fight card: Betting Lines, Odds, Props Bets, Predictions, Previews and more for the Topuria vs. Oliveira fight card.
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June 27, 2025
12:20 PM
Forbes
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SportsMoneyUFC 317 Fight Card: Odds, Lines, p Bets, Predictions And PicksByTrent Reinsmith, Contributor
Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights
Trent Reinsmith is a Baltimore-based writer who covers MMA and hockey
AuthorJun 27, 2025, 12:20pm EDTLAS VEGAS, NEVADA - JUNE 26: (L-R) Opponents Ilia Topuria of Germany and Charles Oira of Brazil
More face off during the UFC 317 press conference at T-Mobile Arena on June 26, 2025 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)Zuffa LLC Saturday’s UFC 317 fight card features two title fights at the top of the marquee
In the main event, two former champs battle for the vacant UFC lightweight belt
In that contest, former UFC featherweight champion Ilia Topuria tangles with former UFC lightweight titleholder Charles Oira
In the UFC 317 co-main event, UFC flyweight kingpin Alexandre Pantoja faces Kai Kara-France
Also on the main card is a high-stakes 125-pound contest between Brandon Royval and Joshua Van
We look at the betting odds, line movement, potential p bets, and picks for the UFC 317 main card
UFC 317 takes place on Saturday, June 28, from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
The pay-per-view card is the focal point of the UFC’s 2025 International Fight Week
The UFC 317 PPV fight card s on ESPN+ ing prelims on ESPN and early prelims on UFC Fight Pass
ForbesUFC Announces First Nine Fights For UFC 318 Fight CardBy Trent Reinsmith UFC 317 Fight Card Main Event: Betting Odds, Line Movement And Predictions - Ilia Topuria Vs
Charles OiraLAS VEGAS, NEVADA - JUNE 26: (L-R) Opponents Ilia Topuria of Germany and Charles Oira of Brazil
More face off during the UFC 317 press conference at T-Mobile Arena on June 26, 2025 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)Zuffa LLC Ilia Topuria (16-0) is a former Cage Warriors champion
He joined the UFC in 2020 with a 9-0 record
It did not take him long to make a name for himself
He was ranked No. 14 in the featherweight division after three UFC bouts at 145 pounds and one contest in the 155-pound division
Three of those scraps with Topuria winning via knockout
MORE FOR YOU In his first fight as a ranked featherweight, Topuria dispatched Bryce Mitchell via submission in the second round, earned his first “Performance of the Night” bonus and moved to No. 9 in the rankings
A matchup with No. 5 ranked Josh Emmett ed the Mitchell win
Topuria picked up a decision in a “Fight of the Night” scrap
Topuria’s next fight, saw him face Alexander Volkanovski for the UFC featherweight title at UFC 298
Topuria entered that bout as the No. 3 ranked featherweight
He left as the champion after knocking out Volkanovski in the second stanza
In his first defense of the UFC featherweight crown, Topuria made history, becoming the first fighter to finish former 145-pound champion Max Holloway via strikes, knocking out the ex-champion in the third round of their UFC 308 meeting in October 2024
When Topuria decided to move to lightweight and give up his featherweight title, he vowed to sit until he got a 155-pound title shot
That fight takes place at UFC 317
Topuria has a 16-0 record with eight of those wins coming under the UFC banner
Charles Oira (35-10-0-1) has been fighting with the UFC since 2010
He won the vacant lightweight title with his win over Chandler and def the title once, beating Dustin Poirier
He was booked to face Justin Gaethje in his second title defense, but Oira missed weight for that fight, which he won by submission, losing the title on the scale
Oira had a chance to regain the belt in October 2022, but Islam Makhachev submitted him and claimed the vacant belt
Since that loss, Oira is 1-1, beating Beneil Dariush by TKO in June 2023 and losing to Arman Tsarukyan via split decision in April of this year
Oira is coming off a November 2024 decision win over Michael Chandler
Oira is the No. 2 fighter in the official UFC lightweight rankings
When the betting odds opened for this fight, Topuria was a -425 favorite over the +310 Oira
Today, Topuria is listed at -450, while Oira is the +350 underdog
The betting public seems to be invested in an upset, as Oira has 90 percent of the bets and 63 percent of the handle
ABU DHABI, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - OCTOBER 26: Ilia Topuria of Spain reacts after a knockout victory
More against Max Holloway in the UFC featherweight championship fight during the UFC 308 event at Etihad Arena on October 26, 2024 in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. (Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC)Zuffa LLC Oira has had a fantastic UFC career, and that career is far from over
However, he is part of the “old guard” of the UFC’s lightweight division
That group of fighters includes the men Oira has beaten as of late: Michael Chandler, Beneil Dariush, Justin Gaethje, and Dustin Poirier
The fighters who are not in that group are the men who have defeated Oira, competitors such as Arman Tsarukyan and Islam Makhachev
Ilia Topuria is part of that new generation
If Oira apaches this fight he has been competing as of late, he will be in trouble
That means Oira cannot opt to strike in range against Topuria, who is a powerful striker with good footwork and finishing skills
Oira must fight at distance and keep Topuria from getting in close
Oira has not shown a willingness to fight that type of battle
The betting pick is for Ilia Topuria to beat Charles Oira to win the UFC lightweight title by knockout
UFC 317 Fight Card Co-Main Event: Betting Odds, Line Movement And Predictions - Alexandre Pantoja Vs
Kai Kara-FranceLAS VEGAS, NEVADA - JUNE 26: (L-R) Opponents Alexandre Pantoja of Brazil and Kai Kara-France of New
More Zealand face off during the UFC 317 press conference at T-Mobile Arena on June 26, 2025 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)Zuffa LLC Alexandre Pantoja (29-5) is on a seven-fight winning streak heading into UFC 317
The 35-year-old Brazilian made his UFC debut in July 2017 with a split-decision win over Eric Shelton
Pantoja’s career had its ups and downs over the next three years, where he went 5-3, but he has not lost since he dropped a decision to Askar Askarov in July 2020
Pantoja won the UFC flyweight title in July 2023 on the heels of two “Performance of the Night” submission wins
Pantoja secured the 125-pound title with a split decision win over Brandon Moreno
Since that victory, Pantoja has def his three times, beating Brandon Royval in December 2023 and Steve Erceg in May 2024
Both fights in decision victories
Pantoja picked up his 19th career finish in his third title defense, submitting Kai Asakura at UFC 310 in December 2024
Kai Kara-France (25-11-0-1) was 17-7-0-1 when he got the call from the UFC in 2019
In his first fight with the motion, the New Zealander faced a short-notice opponent in Elias Garcia
The two won “Fight of the Night” honors for their efforts, with Kara-France picking up the decision win
Kara-France ed that victory with two more wins on the judge’s scorecards
Then, in December 2019, he faced future champion Brandon Moreno on the early prelims of the UFC 245 pay-per-view card
Moreno won that bout by decision
Kara-France went 1-1 in his next two outings
He then tore off three straight wins between March 2021 and March 2022 and found himself as the No. 2 ranked fighter in the division
In his next outing, he faced Moreno, who was ranked No. 1, in the co-main event of UFC 277
At stake was the interim UFC flyweight title
Moreno won that contest by TKO in the third round
Kara-France ed that setback with a split-decision loss to Amir Albazi in June 2023
Kara-France was booked to face Manel Kape in September 2023, but a concussion during training camp prevented Kara-France from competing on that card, UFC 293
The 32-year-old would not return to action until August 2024, where he earned a first-round TKO win, and a “Performance of the Night” bonus against Steve Erceg
Kara-France enters UFC 317 as the No. 4 fighter in the official UFC flyweight rankings
The betting odds for the UFC 317 co-main event have held steady
Pantoja opened as the -250 favorite, while Kara-France came in at +200
The line is the same today
Kara-France has picked up 67 percent of the bets and 53 percent of the money
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - DECEMBER 07: Alexandre Pantoja of Brazil reacts to his win against Kai Asakura
More of Japan in the UFC flyweight championship bout during the UFC 310 event at T-Mobile Arena on December 07, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)Zuffa LLC We’re looking at a grappler vs
Striking battle in the co-main event of UFC 317
The champ is the grappler and the challenger is the striker
These two fought in an exhibition match in 2016 during The Ultimate Fighter
Pantoja won that two-round affair by decision
Don’t put much stock in that contest
Look for Pantoja to move forward and strike with Kara-France early, but then look for the takedown where he will be able to drag Kara-France into deep water and outwork him on the mat
Yes, Kara-France has a punchers chance, but not much more than that
The betting pick is for Pantoja to beat Kara-France by decision to retain the UFC flyweight title at UFC 317
UFC 317 Fight Card: Betting Odds, Line Movement And Predictions: Beneil Dariush Vs
Renato MoicanoLAS VEGAS, NEVADA - JUNE 26: (L-R) Opponents Beneil Dariush of Iran and Renato Moicano of Brazil
More face off during the UFC 317 press conference at T-Mobile Arena on June 26, 2025 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)Zuffa LLC Beneil Dariush (22-6-1) joined the UFC in January 2014
At the time, Dariush sported a 6-0 record with five stoppage wins
In his motional debut, Dariush scored a first-round submission win over Charlie Brenneman
Three months later Dariush tasted defeat for the first time, suffering a knockout loss to Ramsey Nijem
Dariush bounced back from that loss with five wins in a row, besting the s of Daron Cruickshank (submission), Jim Miller (decision) and Michael Johnson (decision)
A submission loss to Michael Chiesa that winning streak in April 2016
Wins over James Vick (knockout) and Rashid Magomedov put Dariush’s record at 14-2, but a rough patch between March 2017 and March 2018 left Dariush at 14-4-1 as he lost to Edson Barboza (knockout), fought to a draw with Evan Dunham and was knocked out by Alexander Hernandez
Dariush rebounded in a big way from that winless run, picking up eight straight victories between November 2018 and October 2022
The most significant win during Dariush’s impressive run was his UFC 280 decision win over Mateusz Gamrot. ing that victory, Dariush found himself as the No. 4 ranked fighter in the official UFC rankings and matched up against former UFC 155-pound champion Charles Oira at UFC 289
Oira entered the contest as the No. 1 ranked fighter in the motion’s lightweight division
Oira won the fight via TKO at 4:10 of the first round, ending Dariush’s winning streak
A December 2023 knockout loss to Arman Tsarukyan put Dariush on the first losing skid of his career
He has not competed since the loss to Tsarukyan
Renato Moicano (20-6-1) was riding the first four-fight winning streak of his UFC career when he stepped in to face Makhachev at UFC 311
The 36-year-old opened his run with the motion at 3-0 record between 2014 and 2017
Since then, Moicano has been up and down
He ed that by going 5-5 over his next 10 outings before beginning his current unbeaten streak in 2022
Moicano is 7-1 dating back to June 2021
His only loss prior to his UFC 311 setback to Makhachev was a March 2022 unanimous decision defeat to former UFC lightweight champion Rafael dos Anjos in a 160-pound catchweight battle
In April 2024, Moicano picked up his first knockout as a member of the UFC, decking Jalin Turner on the early prelims of the UFC 300 fight card
Then, in September 2024, the UFC tapped Moicano for the first main event of his UFC career against Benoît Saint Denis
That fight after the second round after Moicano left Saint Denis’ face bloody and swollen
The damage Moicano put on his opponent forced the doctor to wave off the fight as Saint Denis’ right eye was nearly swollen shut
Moicano enters UFC 317 as the No. 10 fighter in the UFC’s 155-pound weight class
When the betting odds opened for this fight, Moicano was a -155 favorite over the +130 Dariush
Today, the bout is a pick 'em with Moicano at -115, and Dariush at -105
The bettors are looking for a Dariush win
He has 57 percent of the bets, and 79 percent of the money in his favor
AUSTIN, TEXAS - DECEMBER 02: Beneil Dariush of Iran prepares before his lightweight fight against
More Arman Tsarukyan of Georgia during the UFC Fight Night event at Moody Center on December 02, 2023 in Austin, Texas. (Photo by Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images)Zuffa LLC via Getty Images We all know that in MMA a fighter is only as good as their most recent outing, or at least that’s the logic that many
Had this fight been booked before Dariush’s two recent losses, he would have ly have been the betting favorite
After all, he is the more skilled competitor in this bout
However, Dariush has lost two straight and Moicano, who might have been considered more of a journeyman than a legit lightweight contender before the winning streak that earned him a last-minute title fight, was on the best run of his UFC career before UFC 311
The betting pick is for Beneil Dariush to use his better overall MMA skills to pick up a decision win and end his losing skid
UFC 317 Fight Card: Betting Odds, Line Movement And Predictions: Brandon Royval Vs
Joshua VanLAS VEGAS, NEVADA - JUNE 26: (L-R) Opponents Brandon Royval and Joshua Van of Myanmar face off
More during the UFC 317 press conference at T-Mobile Arena on June 26, 2025 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC)Zuffa LLC Brandon Royval (17-7) joined the UFC in 2020 with a 10-4 record
At the time, Royval was coming off a November 2019 submission win over Nate Williams, earning him the LFA flyweight title
Royval did not get an easy matchup in his first UFC bout, as he was booked against former UFC flyweight title challenger Tim Elliott in a slight upset
The matchup won “Fight of the Night” honors
Royval ed that win with another stoppage in another “Fight of the Night” bonus-winning scrap, submitting the favored Kai Kara-France in the second round of their September 2020 matchup
Royval 2020 with a TKO loss to Brandon Moreno and began 2021 with a submission setback to Alexandre Pantoja
Both those men would go on to hold the UFC flyweight title
Bouncing back from those losses, Royval went on a three-fight winning streak, picking up another tw.
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