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Thinking about buying an EV? Most are set to become $7,500 more expensive come October

July 4, 2025
11:57 AM
4 min read
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economyfinancialautomotivetechnologymarket cyclesseasonal analysispolicy

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Carmakers may begin reducing production volumes now in order not to be stuck with excess inventory after September, so buyers only have weeks left to purchase their favorite model on the cheap.

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4 min read

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investment

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July 4, 2025

11:57 AM

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Fortune

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economyfinancialautomotivetechnologymarket cyclesseasonal analysispolicy

·Electric vehiclesThinking buying an EV

Most are set to become $7,500 more expensive come OctoberBY Christiaan HetznerBY Christiaan HetznerSenior ReporterChristiaan HetznerSenior ReporterChristiaan Hetzner is a senior reporter for Fortune covering the auto industry and Europe’s changing landscape

SEE FULL BIOEffective October, President Trump will have eliminated a key subsidy that helped Elon Musk sell electric vehicles in the U

Andrew Harnik—Getty ImagesPresident Trump’s Big, Beautiful Bill will strip away the federal tax subsidy for new, used and leased EVs despite hiking the debt ceiling by $5 trillion

Carmakers may decide to begin reducing duction volumes now in order not to be stuck with excess inventory after September ends

That means buyers only have a number of weeks left

Americans contemplating the purchase of a new electric vehicle should act fast, if they want to themselves a cool $7,500 on the cost of a car

Later today, the President is expected to sign his package of tax cuts and spending plans known as the Big Beautiful Bill

Even though it would hike the debt ceiling by $5 trillion, the Trump administration has decided effective October there is no fiscal leeway for Uncle Sam to subsidize the purchase of EVs any longer

This could soon see a stampede of last-minute EV buyers in the next three months, at a time when carmakers—known in the industry as Original Equipment Manufacturers, or OEMs—may begin to reduce assembly line speed in order not to be stuck with excess inventory once the subsidies expire

Empty dealer lots could be the result, even before September ends. “To mitigate the financial impact and potential inventory blems, we think OEMs may decide to reduce EV duction in the U

Starting as early as Q325,” UBS analysts wrote on Friday

The federal tax credit will be history at the end of September—rather than the end of year as originally planned

Importantly the leasing credit will also end then

EV leasing deals have become immensely since the $7,500 came with no strings attached that limited consumer EV choice, such as the degree to which the vehicle and its battery pack were manufactured in the United States

The $4,000 purchase credit for used EVs is also going away come September

Biden’s plan to close the affordability gap versus combustion engine cars The federal EV tax credit was introduced at the start of 2023 as part of the Inflation Reduction Act, President Biden’s stimulus gram so named because it passed at a time when the soaring cost of living had turned stimulus into a bad word

The previous administration wanted to reduce the price gap between internal combustion engine cars and EVs, which often apached $10,000 because of the costly metals lithium and nickel used in EV battery packs

While the tax credit helped ignite interest, it didn’t entirely address the affordability issue

EV buyers could only claim it back in their annual tax filing, meaning they still needed the cash on hand to pay the full price initially

Musk pointed this out back in October of that year. “It’s worth noting that a lot of these incentives the tax credit and whatnot, they’re actually very difficult for the average person to access, because most people do not have $10,000 or even $7,500 burning a hole in their bank account,” he told investors during a quarterly earnings call. “They can’t front $7,500 for 18 months—or even six months to get the tax credit. ” Manufacturers may offer higher rebates to cushion part of the blow In January 2024, however, that changed as the tax credit was applied directly at the point of sale, instantly reducing the cost and eliminating the hassle for consumers

How manufacturers adjust their EV prices to the new reality is at this point un

Some could choose to offer a portion of the rebate to cushion the blow

A number of brands took this apach in Germany when the government had to eliminate the “Environment Bonus” EV purchase subsidy as part of an emergency revision to the budget

However, Trump’s bill simultaneously abolishes fines for exceeding corporate average fleet economy (CAFE) rules

That means there is even less incentive for legacy carmakers to push EVs, which are both not fitable and now suddenly more expensive

The result could be a renaissance for internal combustion engine cars that puts the U

On a very different path from the rest of the world, where EV adoption continues to grow. “Longer term, we think OEMs will focus on ICE models in the U

Market amid the relaxation of emissions rules and lack of EV incentives,” UBS added

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