There’s a 68% chance that stocks will rise by year-end. Do you feel lucky?

ETResizeListen(5 min) Photo: Getty Images/iStockphotoThere’s a 2-out-of-3 chance that the U

Stock market will be higher on Dec. 31 than it is today

You may decide that a 1-out-of-3 chance of losing money is too high, and therefore choose to stay out of stocks

But you’re kidding yourself if you think the odds will ever be any better

The bability of the market rising over any six-month period is remarkably impervious to prevailing market conditions

The Author Mark HulbertMark Hulbert is a columnist for MarketWatch

His Hulbert Ratings service tracks investment s that pay a flat fee to be audited

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