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The Nasdaq Just Entered a New Bull Market. Is It Too Late to Buy the Invesco QQQ ETF?

July 8, 2025
04:19 AM
5 min read
AI Enhanced
economystockstradingfinancialtechnologyaimarket cyclesseasonal analysis

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The Nasdaq-100 is to 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. It's typically used as a yardstick for the performance of the nology industry because some...

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investment

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July 8, 2025

04:19 AM

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economystockstradingfinancialtechnologyaimarket cyclesseasonal analysis

The Nasdaq-100 is to 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange

It's typically used as a yardstick for the performance of the nology industry because some of its top holdings include powerhouses Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple

The Nasdaq-100 plunged into bear market territory in April after losing 23% of its peak value, driven by President Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs, which threatened to derail the global economy

But most of America's trading partners are now at the negotiating table, so the president placed his most aggressive import penalties on hold

As a result, the index has recovered and is now trading at a new record high, which means a fresh bull market is underway

The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ -0. 75%) is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the performance of the Nasdaq-100, so it offers a simple way for investors to own a slice of the entire index

Did investors miss their opportunity to buy the dip earlier this year, or is more upside on the way

Image source: Getty Images

The "Magnificent Seven" pulled the Nasdaq out of its slump The "Magnificent Seven" is a group of companies that lead different segments of the nology industry

They earned the name for their incredible size and their ability to consistently outperform the rest of the stock market

The seven companies represent an eye-popping 42. 1% of the Nasdaq-100 index and, by extension, the Invesco QQQ ETF: Stock Invesco ETF Portfolio Weighting Nvidia 9. 12% Microsoft 8. 68% Apple 7. 55% Amazon 5. 55% Alphabet 4. 80% Meta Platforms 3. 68% Tesla 2. 73% Data source: Invesco

Portfolio weightings are accurate as of July 2, 2025, and are subject to change

The Nasdaq-100 set its bear-market bottom on April 8, and it has since climbed by almost 34%

But the Magnificent Seven stocks have dered average and median returns of 35% over the same period

Nvidia and Microsoft are the only two stocks in the Magnificent Seven to set a new record high since April, so the group might still have room for upside from here

Most of the seven companies also have solid fundamentals that support further gains, mainly because they are leaders in different areas of the artificial intelligence (AI) race

Nvidia supplies graphics cessing units (GPUs) for data centers, which are the most powerful chips for AI

Microsoft, on the other hand, is successfully commercializing an advanced AI assistant called Copilot, and the company also offers a growing portfolio of AI services through its Azure cloud platform

Amazon and Alphabet are Microsoft's biggest competitors in the AI cloud space, and they have each developed their own AI assistants, too

Then there is Meta Platforms, which created the Llama open-source large language models (LLMs), in addition to its own chatbot called Meta AI

But the Invesco ETF is to several other minent AI companies outside of the Magnificent Seven

In the semiconductor space, there are Broadcom, Advanced Micro Devices, and Micron nology

Then on the AI software side, the ETF holds Palantir nologies, Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, Atlassian, and Datadog

This could be a great time to buy the Invesco QQQ ETF The Nasdaq-100 has experienced seven bear since the Invesco QQQ ETF was established in 1999

Nevertheless, the ETF has still dered a compound annual return of 10. 1% over the last 26 years, which highlights the benefits of taking a long-term apach and holding through volatility

The ETF has also generated an accelerated annual return of 18. 7% over the last 10 years, thanks to the liferation of nologies smartphones, advanced semiconductors, cloud computing, enterprise software, and now, AI

It's difficult to predict which companies will unlock the most value from AI over the long run because the industry is moving so fast, having spawned several trillion-dollar opportunities already

In 2023, Bloomberg estimated that generative AI would become a $1. 3 trillion industry by 2032

But in May of this year, Salesforce CEO Mark Benioff predicted agentic AI -- which wasn't even a main concept until a few months ago -- could become a $12 trillion market on its own

In the hardware space, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang thinks data center operators will be spending $1 trillion per year to build AI infrastructure by 2028

Investors who buy the Invesco QQQ ETF won't have to separate the winners from the losers, because they will own a slice of the biggest players in each segment of the AI industry

This will bably be a very effective strategy, so even though the ETF just set a new record high, it's ly still a great buy for anyone willing to hold onto it for the next five to 10 years (or more)

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors

Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors

Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors

Anthony Di Pizio has no position in any of the stocks mentioned

The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Atlassian, CrowdStrike, Datadog, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, Palantir nologies, Salesforce, and Tesla

The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom, Nasdaq, and Palo Alto Networks and recommends the ing options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft

The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.