The mighty American consumer keeps shrugging off tariffs as retail sales rise 0.5% in July
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The mighty American consumer keeps shrugging off tariffs as retail sales rise 0.5% in July

August 15, 2025
01:36 PM
5 min read
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economymoneyfinancialretailautomotivemarket cyclesseasonal analysiseconomic

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Retail sales rose 0.5% last month, maching economists' estimates.

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5 min read

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investment

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Published

August 15, 2025

01:36 PM

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Fortune

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economymoneyfinancialretailautomotivemarket cyclesseasonal analysiseconomic

Economy·Tariffs and tradeThe mighty American consumer keeps shrugging off tariffs as retail sales rise 0.5% in JulyBy Anne D'InnocenzioBy The Associated PressBy Anne D'InnocenzioBy The Associated Press The mighty American shopper is still spending.Getty ImagesShoppers spent at a healthy pace in July, particularly at the nation’s auto dealerships, as they shrug off President Donald Trump’s tariffs, which are starting to take a toll on jobs and lead to some price increases

Retail sales rose 0.5% last month, a slowdown from a revised 0.9% in June, which was revised upward, according to the Commerce Department’s report released Friday

The pace in July matched economists’ estimates

The increases ed two consecutive months of spending declines — a 0.1% pullback in April and a 0.9% slowdown in May

Excluding auto sales, which have been volatile since Trump imposed tariffs on many foreign-made cares, retail sales rose 0.3%

They appear to have returned roughly to normalized spending after a surge in March and April as Americans attempted to get ahead of Trump’s 25% duty on imported cars and parts and then a slump after that, according to Samuel Tombs, chief U.S

Economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics

The data showed solid spending across many retail sectors. at clothing stores was up 0.7% while online retailers saw a 0.8% increase. at furnishings and furniture stores rose 1.4%

However, at electronics stores, sales were down 0.6%

And at restaurants, the lone services component within the Census Bureau report and a barometer of discretionary spending, fell 0.4%, however as shoppers are focusing on eating at to money

Still spending appears to be holding up even as Trump’s tariff are resulting in a slowdown in hiring and rising prices for shoppers

Earlier this month, the Labor Department reported that U.S. hiring is slowing sharply as Trump’s trade policies paralyze es and raise concerns the outlook for the world’s largest economy

U.S. employers added just 73,000 jobs last month, the Labor Department reported Aug 9, well short of the 115,000 expected

Another government report, issued Tuesday, on U.S. inflation showed that inflation was unchanged in July as rising prices for some imported goods were offset by declining gas and grocery prices, leaving overall prices modestly higher than a year ago

Consumer prices rose 2.7% in July from a year earlier, the same as the previous month and up from a post-pandemic low of 2.3% in April

Excluding the volatile food and energy , core prices rose 3.1%, up from 2.9% in June

Both figures are above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target

On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.2% in July, down from 0.3% the previous month, while core prices ticked up 0.3%, a bit faster than the 0.2% in June

The new numbers suggest that slowing rent increases and cheaper gas are offsetting some impacts of Trump’s sweeping tariffs

Many es are also ly still absorbing much of the cost of the duties

The consumer price figures ly reflect some impact from the 10% universal tariff Trump imposed in April, as well as higher duties on countries such as China and Canada

U.S. wholesale inflation soared unexpectedly last month, signaling that Trump’s taxes are pushing costs up and that higher prices for consumers may be on the way

The Labor Department reported Thursday that its ducer price index — which measures inflation before it hits consumers— rose 0.9% last month from June, biggest jump in more than three years

Compared with a year earlier, wholesale prices rose 3.3%

The figures were much higher than economists had expected

The report comes as major retailers Walmart and Target are slated to report their fiscal second-quarter earnings reports starting next week

Analysts will stud the reports to see how much retailers are absorbing the costs and how much they’re passing on to shoppers

They’ll also want to get insight into the state of consumer behavior heading into the critical fall and winter holiday seasons

In May, Walmart, the nation’s largest retailer, warned t hat it had increased prices on bananas imported from Costa Rica from 50 cents per pound to 54 cents, but it noted that a large sting for shoppers wouldn’t start to appear until June and July

The retailer’s chief financial officer, John David Rainey, told The Associated Press that he thought car seats made in China that were selling for $350 at Walmart would ly cost customers another $100

But a growing list of companies including cter & Gamble, e.lf

Cosmetics, Black & Decker and Ralph Lauren told investors in recent weeks that they plan to or have already raised prices

Some, eyewear retailer Warby Parker, are trying to be selective and are trying to focus on raising prices on just their premium ducts as a way to offset the higher costs from tariffs

Warby Parker has been shifting duction away from China, where it plans to bring the percentage of all cost of goods sold by year-end under 15%

But it’s also having to deal with higher tariffs costs in other countries

Warby Parker told analysts last Thursday that it plans to keep its $95 option

But it’s increasing prices on select lens types

It also wants to cater more to older shoppers who need more expensive gressive lens

Warby Parker said that gressives, trifocals and bifocals make up roughly 40% of all prescription units sold industrywide

But just 23% of Warby Parker’s now is made up of gressives

Company executives said gressives are its highest priced offering and offer the highest fit margins. “We were able to quickly roll out select strategic price increases that have benefited our growth,” Neil Blumenthal, co-chairman and co-founder and co-CEO of Warby Parker, told analysts last week

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