
The markets are behaving as if Europe has pulled the wool over Trump’s eyes
Key Takeaways
Investors are trading as if one of two conditions will turn out to be true: That the deal is composed of stuff that was going to happen anyway, or that the U.S. Supreme Court will rule Trump's deals a...
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6 min read
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cryptocurrency
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July 29, 2025
11:36 AM
Fortune
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What caught my attention is Finance·The are behaving as if Europe has pulled the wool over Trump’s eyesBy Jim EdwardsBy Jim EdwardsExecutive Editor, Global NewsJim EdwardsExecutive Editor, Global NewsJim Edwards is the executive editor for global news at Fortune
He was previously the editor-in-chief of Insider's news division and the founding editor of Insider UK (something worth watching), amid market uncertainty
Moreover, His investigative journalism has changed the law in two U (something worth watching)
Federal districts and two states
Supreme Court cited his work on the death penalty in the concurrence to Baze v
On the other hand, Rees, the ruling on whether lethal injection is cruel or unusual, in light of current trends
Furthermore, He also won the Neal award for an investigation of bribes and kickbacks on Madison Avenue
SEE FULL BIO Trump thinks he's fleecing Europe but the E, in light of current trends
May have shepherded through a deal it can with (an important development)
Moreover, Dae-heung Kang via Getty ImagesStocks are up again today despite the trade deal between the U, in light of current trends
Additionally, Which will place a 15% tax on imports into America
Why are traders so happy this (fascinating analysis)
Because an examination of what few details are available the deal suggest that most of it simply formalizes spending and investment that was going to happen anyway
And there’s a case heading to the U
Supreme Court which may declare all Trump’s deals are illegal in the long run
European stocks are up 0. 93% today, and the STOXX Europe 600 index is again apaching an all-time high. (By contrast, S&P 500 futures are only up 0 (which is quite significant). 28% this morning (an important development). ) Given that the U
Just slapped Europe with a 15% tax on all its exports to America, why are investors in Europe so bullish
One theory is that they are trading as if one of two conditions will turn out to be true: The new E
Deal is, its Japanese counterpart, mostly composed of stuff that will never happen or was happening anyway, and therefore changes little
Supreme Court will rule that Trump has no authority to negotiate tariffs on his own under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, and that all his deals will be declared null, resetting tariff levels nearer to zero
That would explain why, this morning, Goldman Sachs moved its estimate of E, in this volatile climate
Furthermore, GDP upward by 0
However, 1%, ing the deal, according to a note from Sahar Islam and Ayushi Mishra
Analysts are hinting this morning that E (an important development), considering recent developments
Officials appear to have pulled the wool over Trump’s eyes in the negotiations
The deal includes $750 billion in “strategic purchases,” $600 billion of private investment, and “vast quantities” of military equipment purchases
But there is near unanimity on Wall Street that the private investment was going to happen anyway in the normal course of, amid market uncertainty. “The $600bn represents existing investment plans, not new investment,” Mark Wall and his team at Deutsche Bank wrote this morning (remarkable data) (which is quite significant), in this volatile climate. “Pie in the sky” And the Financial Times reported this morning that Europe’s “mise” to buy $750 billion of energy from the U
Cannot actually be fulfilled because the European fuel market is controlled by, not their governments (which is quite significant). “Even if Europe did want to increase its imports, I don’t know the mechanism by which the EU goes to these companies and tells them to buy more US energy,” Matt Smith, an exec at the energy consultancy Kpler, told the FT
He called it “pie in the sky (remarkable data)
Government doesn’t have the power to compel to buy American oil, the price of energy is coming down, and the long-term trend in Europe is to phase out fossil fuels in favor of renewables. “European gas demand is soft and energy prices are falling, in today's financial world
In any case, it is not states that contract for energy imports,” Bill Farren-Price, head of gas re at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, told the FT (quite telling)
On the other hand, “ it or not, in Europe the windmills are winning. ” The military purchases are unsurprising given that Russia is waging war on its eastern flank
Europe needs all the weapons it can get (quite telling)
Moreover, NATO will be happy to buy from the U
Additionally, VOS Selections vs Trump And then, waiting in the wings, is the biggest potential upside surprise to global stocks of them all: VOS Selections vs Trump
This case was brought by a group of small American es who are angry that their bills are going up because of the tariffs, in today's market environment
They argue that Trump’s assertion of a national emergency under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977 is not valid for him to make trade deals without Congressional apval. (Congress is the usual body that apves trade deals. ) An appeals hearing is set for July 31 and it is ly that, in turn, the case will go to the U
Supreme Court in Washington, D
Furthermore, “If the IEEPA is deemed inadmissable, the of the trade deals is also un,” JPMorgan’s Jahangir Aziz and Bruce Kasman reminded clients this morning
The high court is packed with Trump’s own picks, of course, so he can expect a sympathetic hearing
It would nonetheless be a huge leap for the justices to agree that routine trade deficits constitute a national emergency
If they eventually declare the tariffs illegal, expect stocks to leap
Here’s a snapshot of the action prior to the opening bell in New York: S&P 500 futures were up 0, in light of current trends
Moreover, 28% this morning, premarket, after the index closed up 0. 018% on monday, hitting another new all-time high at 6,389 (something worth watching)
STOXX Europe 600 was up 0. 93% in early trading. ’s FTSE 100 was up 0
Conversely, 73% in early trading
Japan’s Nikkei 225 was down 1
China’s CSI 300 Index was up 0, amid market uncertainty
The South Korea KOSPI was up 0
India’s Nifty 50 was up 0
Bitcoin is holding above $118K
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