
Tech industry insiders share their picks for the next startups who will ride the IPO wave after Figma’s blockbuster debut
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There’s a long list of late-stage VC-backed tech companies with strong customer bases that investors hope will be enticed to make the leap after Figma's success.
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August 4, 2025
10:40 PM
Fortune
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·IPOs industry insiders their picks for the next startups who will ride the IPO wave after Figma’s blockbuster debutBy Alexandra SternlichtBy Alexandra Sternlicht Michael Nagle/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesFigma’s sensational IPO last week resurrected longstanding debates IPO pricing and first day pops—an unsurprising reaction to the newly listed stock’s 333% surge in its first days of trading
As investors dissect the offering (and as Figma’s stock settles back a bit, falling 27% on Monday), other key questions have emerged: Will Figma’s debut entice other startups to jump into the fray, bringing an end to the industry’s IPO drought? And if so, who’s next? There’s a long list of late-stage VC-backed companies with strong customer bases that Wall Street investment bankers would love to take public
Many of these multi-billion dollar companies, including Databricks, Klarna, Stripe, and SpaceX, have been subjects of IPO speculation for years
And then of course, there’s the crop of richly valued AI startups, from OpenAI and Anthropic, to Elon Musk’s xAI
Those companies will ly continue to be in the spotlight, but in conversations I had with several investors ing Figma’s debut, other names came up as more ly to IPO sooner including Canva, Revolut, Midjourney, Motive, and Anduril. “Having positive IPOs is a good signal for everybody,” says Kirsten Green, founder and managing partner at Forerunner Ventures, whose portfolio company Chime recently went public and experienced a 37% pop in stock price on its first day of trading. (Forerunner also has investments in public company Hims & Hers and late stage including Oura.) “I believe we should revisit this idea: an IPO is the Series A of being in the public market–and having that really be a motivator to people’s willingness, and maybe even eagerness to go public.” (As if on cue, HeartFlow, a medical nology company, filed an S-1 for its IPO at a $1.3 billion valuation on August 1)
Kyle Stanford, the director of re on US venture capital at PitchBook, notes that just 18 venture-backed companies have gone public through June 30 of this year
This, he says, is a factor of policy uncertainties that translate to funding headwinds as well as the overfunding that occurred in 2021 that continues to stymie venture capital. “Figma hopefully starts to break the dam, but it’s been a pretty slow quarter,” he says
Though Figma, which makes design software, is fitable and has a strong set of integrated AI capabilities, these qualities are not essential to companies bound for IPO success, says Stanford
He says that investors would prefer companies to generate a minimum of $200 million in revenue that grows at high rates and prioritize positive free cash flow over fitability
Having an AI story is also “very important,” unless the company is very high growth and fitable by wide margins
Canva may be a most-compelling case since it’s a design company with similar fundamentals to that of Figma, said multiple investors I interviewed
Design collaboration company Canva has raised $589 million over 18 rounds at a $32 billion valuation, higher than that of Figma’s at the time of its IPO. “Canva is a big winner when it comes to what happened yesterday with Figma,” says Jason Shuman, an investor at Primary Ventures
Shuman, who is not an investor in Canva, points to Canva’s $3 billion annual revenue and 35% year-over-year growth as signs of its ’ durability
Others agree. “Canva—after looking at Figma, holy crap—they’re going to try to IPO as soon as possible,” says Felix Wang, Managing Director and Partner at Hedgeye Risk Management, who is not a Canva investor
Canva, which was recently valued at $37 billion during a buy back, did not respond to Fortune’s request for
Wang and others note that the surge in Figma’s price is, in many ways, not actually driven by Figma
Rather, the market is at an all-time high, causing retail trader demand for companies new to market. “They don’t even know this company, but they know it’s a new company,” says Wang of retail traders in Figma. “They’re going to put some money into it, and then, more interestingly: they’re going to show it off on social media.” As Figma is to Canva; NuBank is to Revolut, reasons Primary’s Shuman
He looks at fin NuBank, which is up around 13% from its early 2025 IPO and thinks that Revolut, which has a very similar model, could copycat
Revolut told Fortune in a statement: “our focus is not on if or when we IPO, but on continuing to expand the , building new ducts, and viding better and cheaper services to serve our growing global customer base.” Another potential IPO candidate in the near-future is chipmaker Cerebras, says Primary’s Shuman, who invests in vertical AI, B2B, SMB and finance and defense companies but has no stake in Cerebras or Revolut. (Cerebras filed an S-1 in September 2024 but its IPO was delayed by regulators concerned a $335 million investment by UAE-based G42
Now, it’s been ed by regulators for a public market listing, but the company has held off on an IPO as it fundraises $1 billion, reports The Information.) Many companies, including the largest and hottest private company OpenAI (which just nabbed a $300 billion valuation, per the New York Times), have significant incentives to remain private
This is because they can avoid public scrutiny that arises from disclosures required of public companies and have access to significant private capital for liquidity infusions that are often essential
Yet, the fact that behemoths OpenAI, Stripe ($91 billion valuation) and SpaceX ($400 billion valuation) are private may even be a hidden cost for the public market. “I’m going to get philosophical,” says Forerunner’s Green. “Part of the public market was created so the broader population could participate in the economy and in the growth of the economy; it wasn’t meant to sit in a few people’s hands.” One behemoth may be entering the stock market limelight
Anduril, the defense company that nabbed a $30.5 billion valuation on its Series G, has incentives to remain private due to the nature of its
But Pitchbook’s Stanford predicts it to be the next IPO
In addition to Anduril’s CEO announcing it will “definitely” become publicly traded, its value position is core to Trump Administration priorities in security and defense, which could make it a hot pick for investors, Stanford reasons. “Other than that,” he says the list of potential IPO candidates these days is long: “There’s bably 300 other companies that it could be.”Introducing the 2025 Fortune 500, the definitive ranking of the biggest companies in America
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