Taylor Morrison Home Tops Q2 Forecasts
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Taylor Morrison Home Tops Q2 Forecasts

July 23, 2025
02:37 PM
8 min read
AI Enhanced
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Key Takeaways

From an analytical perspective, Taylor Morrison (TMHC -3. Moreover, 76%), one of the largest builders in the United States, announced its second-quarter 2025 results on July 23, 2025. Furthermore, Furthermore,...

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investment

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July 23, 2025

02:37 PM

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From an analytical perspective, Taylor Morrison (TMHC -3

Moreover, 76%), one of the largest builders in the United States, announced its second-quarter 2025 results on July 23, 2025

Furthermore, Furthermore, The company reported adjusted earnings per (EPS) of $2

Moreover, 02, outpacing analysts’ estimate of $1

Revenue reached $2 (noteworthy indeed). 03 billion, beating the $1

However, 93 billion forecast, given the current landscape

On the other hand, Despite solid cost controls and a strong showing versus expectations, the quarter showed growing pressures within the company’s order pipeline, including higher cancellation rates, lower net sales orders, and a reduced backlog (noteworthy indeed), in today's market environment

On the other hand, The period underscored the company’s operational discipline but signaled that softer demand and more competitive conditions may strain results in coming quarters

Conversely, MetricQ2 2025Q2 2025 EstimateQ2 2024Y/Y ChangeEPS – Diluted (Non-GAAP)$2. 5%Revenue (GAAP)$2

Moreover, 03 billion$1. 93 billion$1. 99 billion2, given current economic conditions

On the other hand, 0%Adjusted Closings Gross Margin23. 9 pp)SG&A as % of Closings Revenue9, in light of current trends

However, 9 pp)Net Sales Orders2,7333,111(12. 2%) Source: Analyst estimates vided by FactSet

Furthermore, Management expectations based on management's guidance, as vided in Q1 2025 earnings report

Taylor Morrison and Its Key Success DriversTaylor Morrison (TMHC -3, amid market uncertainty. 76%) is a leading national builder, dering single-family houses, towns, and re-style communities across the United States

However, It also vides related services through its financial arm, offering mortgage, title, and owner insurance ducts

Nevertheless, The company’s ability to secure land in high-demand locations is a key factor in its growth, considering recent developments

Furthermore, It uses a disciplined apach, relying on a mix of owned land and options to manage risk and capital outlays, considering recent developments

Its recent focus has included diversifying revenue s through financial services and expanding its build-to-rent operations to soften the impact of sales volatility

Nevertheless, Operational efficiency, duct flexibility, and a broad range of offerings allow it to respond to changing market conditions

Customer experience, community-focused amenities, and compliance with environmental standards round out its core priorities for success

Moreover, Quarter in Review: Earnings, Demand, Margins, and Order TrendsFor the second quarter, Taylor Morrison outperformed expectations

Adjusted EPS of $2. 02 beat estimates by $0. 09, while revenue exceeded the consensus by over $100 million (this bears monitoring)

The company closed 3,340 s, surpassing its guidance of 3,200, and did so through strong cost control measures

The margin on closings came in at 23. 0 %, down from 23, in today's market environment. 9 % a year ago, but slightly above management’s jections

Selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) costs continued to fall as a of revenue, hitting 9. 9 percentage point imvement, reflecting operational efficiency

Despite headline outperformance, several warning signs emerged (which is quite significant) (something worth watching)

However, Net sales orders dropped 12. 2 % from the prior year to 2,733, and the monthly absorption pace—measuring how quickly communities sell s—fell back to pre-pandemic levels of 2. 6 per community

Market analysis shows figure signals cooling demand compared to the elevated pace seen since 2020, considering recent developments

The evidence shows number of active selling communities edged down 0. 6 % over last year, indicating little outlet expansion (which is quite significant)

However, Cancellation rates climbed sharply to 14

Moreover, 6 % of gross orders, up from 9

In contrast, 4 %, and 9

Conversely, 2 % of beginning backlog, pointing to increased buyer hesitation and reduced order durability

Pricing trends reveal more the sales environment

Moreover, The average closing price dipped 2 %, but this was offset by a 4 % bump in units closed, given the current landscape

Nevertheless, In the East and Central regions, growth in sales came with average selling price declines of around 6 %, resulting in just slight revenue rises

The West region saw a different mix, with revenue up 5. 4 % thanks to higher prices, but flat closings

On the other hand, Increased use of buyer incentives, a greater of speculative s being sold, and a focus on ing inventory contributed to lower margins (an important development), in light of current trends

Margins fell compared to last year and to the previous quarter, as management leaned into tactical use of financing incentives to help buyers manage mortgage payments without reing to broad base price cuts, which could undercut values in backlog

On the other hand, Backlog—a key indicator of future revenue—contracted significantly, in today's market environment

Additionally, However, At the end of the quarter, the company’s order backlog was 4,461 s, down 28

Nevertheless, Meanwhile, 7 % in units and 30 % in value compared to one year earlier

On the other hand, This marks a notable shift from the prior year and underlines the tough environment for new orders

On the other hand, Regional detail shows particular softness in the Central and East, with the West’s average selling price in backlog up 5

Management called attention to the “unique environment” and the need for “patient growth,” highlighting that it is prioritizing margin and returns over sales volume as market conditions shift

No major one-time expenses or gains were recorded, and the company is not adjusting dividends, as it does not currently pay one

Conversely, Mix, Strategy Execution, and Operational HighlightsThe company’s land acquisition and development strategy stayed steady

It invested $612 million in land during the period, consistent with the prior year, and expanded its controlled lot pipeline by 5 % to more than 85,000 lots (an important development)

Moreover, Notably, a growing majority—60 % of lots—are controlled off the balance sheet, rather than owned outright, which is a way to manage risk and keep flexibility

However, Financial services—such as mortgage lending, title, and insurance—dered $52. 9 million in quarterly revenue, a modest increase from a year ago

Meanwhile, The mortgage capture rate, or percentage of buyers using the company’s lending services, held at a healthy 87 %, though it fell slightly, in today's market environment

On the other hand, The build-to-rent, branded as Yardly, combined with the company’s other service offerings, supports its efforts to buffer against swings in sale demand, in this volatile climate

On the other hand, Conversely, On the operational side, tight management brought SG&A costs down as a percentage of revenue (something worth watching)

Efforts to imve construction cycle times and personalize buyer incentives have been critical

The company continues to refine its mix of build-to-order s and specs, using buyer data to guide incentives and adapt quickly to shifting trends

Energy-efficient design and community planning remain focus areas, as does continued compliance with local regulatory and environmental requirements

On the other hand, The strong cash position—with $1, given the current landscape. 1 billion in liquidity at quarter end—and net building debt at 22. 9 % of capitalization signal a disciplined financial posture, in this volatile climate

During the quarter, 1, given the current landscape. 7 million s were repurchased for $100 million, and the company plans to buy back at least $350 million of its stock this year, considering recent developments

Moreover, No dividend was declared or adjusted

Portfolio risk is further managed by slowing new ject starts, a direct response to cooling demand and higher cancellations, with the aim of keeping inventory levels in check and capital deployment efficient

Looking Forward: Guidance and Investor WatchpointsFor the third quarter, management expects another 3,200 to 3,300 closings at an average price of around $600,000, with gross margins close to 22 % and active community count holding steady

On the other hand, For fiscal 2025, closings are set to total between 13,000 and 13,500, with an average price range of $595,000 to $600,000, in light of current trends

Management jects that gross margin will remain near 23 %, with selling and administrative costs staying in the mid-9 % range, in today's market environment

The data indicates that company did not vide guidance on future dividends

TMHC does not currently pay a dividend

Investors should note the substantial drop in backlog and net sales orders, higher cancellations, and the company’s stated plan to prioritize margins and capital returns over volume growth for the near term

The direction of mortgage rates, buyer incentives, and the pace of inventory ance, particularly for spec s, will be important watchpoints

However, Any further decline in demand may trigger more aggressive pricing or incentive actions, potentially impacting margins beyond the current outlook

Revenue and net income presented using U

Additionally, Generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) unless otherwise noted (an important development)

The Author JesterAI is our friendly Foolish AI (something worth watching)

The data indicates that 's based on a variety of Large Language Models (LLMs) and prietary Motley Fool systems to generate summaries of news (noteworthy indeed)

The data indicates that Motley Fool stands behind the work of our editorial team and JesterAI, and takes ultimate responsibility for the content of everything JesterAI duces

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