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Should You Buy Berkshire Hathaway Stock, Even Though It's Down 10% Since Warren Buffett Announced Retiring as CEO?

July 5, 2025
06:03 AM
5 min read
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investmentmoneystocksfinancialtechnologyconsumer discretionarymarket cyclesseasonal analysis

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Berkshire Hathaway (BRK. 98%) stock is down big since Warren Buffett announced that he would be stepping down as chief executive officer (but remain chairman) by the end of the...

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July 5, 2025

06:03 AM

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investmentmoneystocksfinancialtechnologyconsumer discretionarymarket cyclesseasonal analysis

Berkshire Hathaway (BRK. 98%) stock is down big since Warren Buffett announced that he would be stepping down as chief executive officer (but remain chairman) by the end of the year

Here's why the sell-off is a buying opportunity for investors looking for an ultra-reliable blue chip stock to hold for years to come

Image source: Getty Images

Growth stocks are back in style Berkshire Hathaway stock was on a tear to start the year -- hitting an all-time high on May 2 -- the day before its annual holder meeting in Omaha

But between that meeting and June 30, Berkshire fell 10%, compared to a 9. 1% gain in the S&P 500 (^GSPC 0

That's a significant underperformance in a short period, to which Berkshire investors aren't accustomed

The stock has trounced the S&P 500 over the long term, with a 19. 9% compounded annual gain between 1965 and 2024, compared to 10. 4% for the index with dividends reinvested

Part of the reason Berkshire has been lagging the S&P 500 is changing investment sentiment

When tariff turmoil was rippling through, some investors gravitated toward companies with models that could hold up well even if these tensions escalated

Berkshire is an ultra-safe stock to own regardless of the market cycle

This is because of its portfolio of controlled assets -- from its insurance es to ownership of the BNSF railroad, utility giant Berkshire Hathaway Energy, manufacturing assets, services and retailing es, and its positions in public companies Apple, American Express, Coca-Cola, and more

But Berkshire has been extra cautious lately

In its first-quarter 2025 financial filings, Berkshire revealed a record $348 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term Treasury bills

During the holder meeting, Buffett said that Berkshire was holding more Treasury bills than he would, but stressed the importance of being patient and waiting for excellent investment opportunities

In this vein, Berkshire has become even more of a defensive stock, so it makes sense that investors gravitated toward it when volatility was spiking

The news that Buffett is stepping down as CEO, combined with investors looking for riskier, higher-potential-reward stocks and less defensive names, may explain why Berkshire has underperformed the S&P 500 by so much over the last two months

Berkshire is chock-full of compounding potential As a long-term investor, it's important to out the noise of market movements and understand that stock prices can do all s of things in the near term that have little to do with a long-term investment thesis

Earlier this year, Berkshire's stock price was driven by some investors rotating out of mega-cap growth stocks and into value stocks

But now, the opposite is happening, as some value stocks Berkshire are selling off or underperforming the S&P 500 while mega-cap growth stocks Nvidia and Microsoft are hitting all-time highs

It's not that Nvidia's and Microsoft's models have changed between now and a few months ago

Rather, investors are willing to pay a premium price for future earnings growth, because the risk of tariffs slowing that growth has gone down considerably

Instead of focusing on which stocks are in and out of favor, a better apach is to identify excellent es and then decide if the price is reasonable

Buffett's preferred way to value Berkshire is by its operating earnings, which reflect how the es it owns are performing, rather than accounting for changes in market values

Berkshire's operating earnings have compounded over time as it has grown its controlled es and made savvy acquisitions

Insurance underwriting and investment income have been massive drivers of operating earnings

Underwriting earnings grow as premiums collected outpace claims paid, and investment income represents the return Berkshire gets on the sum of premiums collected that haven't been paid out in claims

Given the size and operational excellence of Berkshire's insurance es, paired with its other controlled es, the company has a path toward steadily growing operating earnings over time

As mentioned, Berkshire also has a massive cash position that it can use to make a strategic acquisition, accelerate growth in a controlled, or buy s in stocks at compelling prices

Another reason to buy and hold Berkshire is the potential for the company to pay dividends under its new CEO, Greg Abel

Buffett has long been against the idea of paying dividends, because he believes that Berkshire can earn a better return for holders by re fits rather than passing them along through dividends

And he's been right, given the long-term performance of Berkshire stock

But if Berkshire continues to hold a ton of cash and not buy back stock, it could make sense for the company to pay a dividend

Buying Berkshire for the right reasons When Berkshire was a smaller company, Buffett was able to flex his wess and creativity to have a meaningful effect on the through moves acquiring Geico and buying Coca-Cola and American Express at dirt cheap prices

But today, Berkshire is so big that buying hidden-gem, undervalued companies wouldn't affect its stock performance

So Berkshire's big buys over the last 10 years have been opportunities hiding in plain sight -- Apple

And with Buffett passing the torch to Abel, investors should focus more on Berkshire's operational advantages, rather than treating the company a stock-picking hedge fund

All told, Berkshire is a great buy if you the assets it owns, its cash position, and its competitive advantages

American Express is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money

Daniel Foelber has positions in Nvidia

The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, Berkshire Hathaway, Microsoft, and Nvidia

The Motley Fool recommends the ing options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft

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