Saudi Aramco posts revenue drop ahead of projected demand hike in second half
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Saudi Aramco posts revenue drop ahead of projected demand hike in second half

August 5, 2025
07:19 AM
4 min read
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Saudi Aramco said quarterly revenues were impacted by lower crude oil and oil products prices.

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August 5, 2025

07:19 AM

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investmenteconomyenergyindustrialsmarket cyclesseasonal analysismarket

Logo of Aramco, officially the Saudi Arabian Oil Group, Saudi petroleum and natural gas company, seen on the second day of the 24th World Petroleum Congress at the Big 4 Building at Stampede Park, on September 18, 2023, in Calgary, Canada

Artur Widak | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesSaudi Aramco on Tuesday posted a drop in second-quarter revenues, citing lower crude oil and refined chemical ducts prices that were only partially offset by higher traded volumes.The world's largest oil company declared an adjusted net income of 92.04 billion Saudi riyal ($24.5 billion) over the three months to the end of June

The result compares with a forecast of adjusted net income of $23.7 billion, according to an analyst survey estimate supplied by the company.Second-quarter revenues dropped to 378.83 billion Saudi riyals from 425.71 billion Saudi riyal in the same period of the previous year."Market fundamentals remain strong and we anticipate oil demand in the second half of 2025 to be more than two million barrels per day higher than the first half," Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said in a Tuesday statement accompanying the results.Capital expenditure picked up slightly to 46.2 billion Saudi riyal in the June quarter, up from 45.5 billion Saudi riyal in the same period a year prior."An in-line set of results this morning from Aramco, with sequentially weaker up earnings offset by a recovery in refining results," RBC analysts said in a note ing the results. "With $25.5bn of capital investments in the first half of 2025, Aramco appears to be running lower than its guidance of $52-58bn for the full year

While spending typically picks up in the second half of the year, we think full year capex could come in towards the lower end of its guided range, subject to acquisitions."Crude prices have stayed depressed over the course of the year, barring a brief second-quarter flare-up sparked by Israel-Iran tensions

Futures have been under pressure from an uncertain outlook for demand, exacerbated since April by the rollout of Washington's wide-spanning tariffs

The tectionist trade measures muddy the picture for growth in the world's largest economy and the future of the U.S. dollar, which denominates most commodities — including crude oil.Aramco's income is set to see a boost from higher output, after Saudi Arabia – and seven other OPEC and non-OPEC partners — complete unwinding 2.2 million barrels per day of voluntary cuts through a last tranche in September

Saudi Arabia most recently duced 9.356 million barrels per day in June, according to independent analyst estimates compiled in OPEC's Monthly Oil Market Report.Aramco has increasingly tapped debt , with two issuances totalling $9 billion in the second half of 2024 and a three-part bond sale of $5 billion this year

The company's gearing ratio went up to 6.5% as of June 30, 2025, compared to 5.3% as at March 31, 2025.Front of mind for investors is the dividend policy at Aramco, which in March slashed investor returns for 2025 to $85.4 billion — down sharply from the $124.2 billion of 2024 — after a first-quarter decline in net fits

Aramco declared a base dividend of $21.1 billion and a performance-linked dividend of $0.2 billion in the third quarter.The company's dividend yield stood at 5.5% as of Monday, still ahead of U.S. industry peer Exxon Mobil's 3.6% and Chevron's 4.5%, according to FactSet data.Aramco's payouts ripple sharply into the budget of Saudi Arabia, which has been juggling diversifying its economy away from oil reliance under Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's signature Vision 2030 gram

Saudi Arabia's gross domestic duct expanded by 3.9% in the second quarter, boosted by non-oil activities.