Sam Altman says the AI talent war is a bet that a ‘medium-sized handful of people’ will make superintelligence breakthroughs

AI·OpenAISam Altman says the AI talent war is a bet that a ‘medium-sized handful of people’ will make superintelligence breakthroughsBy Jason MaBy Jason MaWeekend EditorJason MaWeekend EditorJason Ma is the weekend editor at Fortune, where he covers , the economy, finance, and housing.SEE FULL BIO Sam Altman, chief executive officer of OpenAI, arrives for the Allen & Co

Media and nology Conference in Sun Valley, Idaho, on July 8.David Paul Morris—Bloomberg via Getty ImagesAmid the cutthroat war for AI talent, giants are offering astronomical sums to lure a tiny pool of top engineers from rivals

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman expects the market for these geniuses to remain intense, but estimated there are “many thousands of people” capable of making key discoveries in superintelligence who could conceivably be found

The amounts of money being offered to hire AI geniuses is mind-boggling, as giants Meta, Microsoft, Google and OpenAI fight over a tiny talent pool in their race to achieve the next breakthrough

And the cutthroat competition doesn’t look it will ease anytime soon. “Definitely this is the most intense talent market I have seen in my career,” OpenAI CEO Sam Altman told CNBC on Friday. “But if you think the economic value being created by these people and how much we’re spending on compute, you know, maybe the market stays this

I’m not I’m not totally sure what’s gonna happen, but it is a crazy intense comp for a very small number of people right now.” Exactly how small is that group of people, and what do they know that others don’t, CNBC’s Andrew Sorkin asked. “The bet, the hope is they know how to discover the remaining ideas to get to superintelligence—that there are going to be a handful of algorithmic ideas and, you know, medium-sized handful of people who can figure them out,” Altman replied

That would help explain the astronomical amounts companies are willing to spend to poach AI talent, with one offer reportedly topping $1 billion

Altman said in June that Meta had been making “giant offers to a lot of people on our team,” some totaling “$100 million signing bonuses and more than that [in] compensation per year.” Meta is also $14.3 billion in Scale and hired the startup’s CEO, Alexandr Wang, for a superintelligence team

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