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President Trump and the White House Claim the "Big, Beautiful Bill" Will Eliminate Social Security Taxes for 88% of Seniors Who Receive Benefits. Would You Qualify?

July 8, 2025
06:15 AM
4 min read
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Many people, such as President Donald Trump and many members of Congress, are excited what they refer to as the "big, beautiful bill. " Others are not happy at all....

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investment

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July 8, 2025

06:15 AM

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Many people, such as President Donald Trump and many members of Congress, are excited what they refer to as the "big, beautiful bill. " Others are not happy at all

Part of the blem is that while some parts of it can seem beautiful, they have meaningful drawbacks

Consider Social Security

The White House issued a statement on July 1 saying that "Under the One Big Beautiful Bill, the vast majority of senior citizens -- 88% of all seniors who receive Social Security -- will pay NO TAX on their Social Security benefits, according to a brand new analysis from the Council of Economic Advisers. " Image source: The White House

Here's a look at whether you might be among the 88% -- and whether you should be delighted it. (Spoiler: You may want to put away the confetti and noisemakers. ) Taking a closer look at the "one, big beautiful bill" on Social Security So, having 88% of Social Security recipients exempt from taxation on their benefits sure sounds great

But here are some things to know: Per the same White House statement, 64% of seniors aged 65 and older who are collecting Social Security are already exempt from having their benefits taxed, due to various exemptions and deductions

So it's not that this is a new exemption taking those who qualify from 0% to 88%

Instead, it's creasing the number of those who won't face taxes on their Social Security benefits

That 88% figure is also short of the 100% implied by Trump in earlier mises, when he said things "There's also no tax on tips, no tax on Social Security, no tax on overtime. " To be, the bill does not eliminate taxes on Social Security

Instead, it creates a new deduction that will shrink the portion of benefits subject to federal taxation, in many cases shrinking it to zero

The deduction, for those who qualify, is $6,000 per person

It's set to expire in 2028, at which point the percentage of seniors escaping this tax would presumably go back to around 64%

It's also worth noting that this is all related to federal taxation of Social Security benefits

Nine states tax Social Security to some degree

It's often done with a light hand, though, and many folks in those states will pay no tax at all

Who qualifies for the new tax-shrinking deduction

According to the version of the bill that was apved by the Senate on July 1, the $6,000 tax deduction would apply to those aged 65 and older who have individual modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) of up to $75,000 -- or married couples filing jointly with combined MAGI up to $150,000

The deduction will shrink for those with incomes above those thresholds, and will be $0 once incomes reach $175,000 for individuals or $250,000 for married couples filing jointly

What's good and bad the new lower taxation

On the surface, this seems good news, even if it doesn't apply to everyone

For the many who will get the deduction, it's hard to argue with paying less in taxes

Here's the rub, though: Social Security's surplus is turning into a deficit, and it's been estimated that come 2034, there will only be enough money coming into the gram (largely via taxes on workers) to pay beneficiaries 81% of what they're owed

This unwelcome scenario doesn't have to happen, though because there are multiple ways to fix the blem

At the moment, though, there's been relatively little talk bolstering Social Security

And instead, it's ly to get weaker -- because if fewer seniors are paying taxes on their benefits, that will mean less money flowing into Social Security's coffers

That could move the deficit's appearance up to sooner than 2034, and it could result in seniors receiving even less than 81% of their benefits

Thus, while offering a tax break sounds nice, the big picture is very worrisome

As my colleague Adam Levy has asserted, what really seems to be happening is that Trump and Congress are failing to tect Social Security

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