Prediction: These 3 Stocks Will Be Worth More Than Apple by 2030
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Apple (AAPL -0. 74%) held the title of world's largest company for several years, but it has since relinquished that title to Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), ly...
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July 11, 2025
05:15 AM
The Motley Fool
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Apple (AAPL -0. 74%) held the title of world's largest company for several years, but it has since relinquished that title to Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), ly for good
However, I don't think that's the last stop for Apple
Judging by the company's lack of new innovative ducts, coupled with a practically non-existent AI strategy, I wouldn't be surprised if other companies pass Apple in terms of market cap over the next few years
Three companies that I think can surpass Apple by 2030 are Amazon (AMZN 1. 36%), Alphabet (GOOG 1. 21%) (GOOGL 1. 09%), and Meta Platforms (META -1
The paths that each stock needs to take to get there are different, but I think that it's doable within the next five years
Image source: Getty Images
Apple's growth has been poor over the past few years First, let's tackle why Apple is struggling
After the COVID sales boom subsided for Apple, it failed to grow its revenue meaningfully
AAPL Operating Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts
While Apple can imve margins and repurchase s, there is only so much effect those activities can have without increasing sales at a meaningful pace
There also don't appear to be any innovative nologies in the pipeline that can drive Apple's stock higher
Its AI launch flopped, and new iPhones haven't seen a game-changing feature in years
Unless something drastic changes, the mid-single-digit revenue growth for Apple is what's to be expected
That's far different from the trio it's being compared against
All three of these companies have duced far greater revenue growth than Apple recently
AAPL Operating Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts
Meta Platforms and Alphabet are growing two to three times faster than Apple, which will allow them to catch up to Apple if they can maintain their pace
With each company in AI and seeing success, I wouldn't be surprised if both these companies can keep up their growth rates for the foreseeable future
Amazon isn't growing significantly faster than Apple in terms of revenue
Still, due to the rise of high-margin es Amazon Web Services (AWS) and advertising, its fits are increasing at a rapid pace
AAPL EPS Basic (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts
All three of these companies are growing earnings at a much faster pace than Apple, which is what the market cares for mature es
This will allow all three to surpass Apple by 2030, but just how easily will each company achieve this goal
Valuation is another key consideration Despite Apple's slower-than-market growth rate, it trades at a massive premium to the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC), which trades for 23. 2 times forward earnings
AAPL PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts
PE = price-to-earnings
Furthermore, it has a massive premium over Alphabet, which has posted substantially better results than Apple recently
If Apple and Alphabet were to trade at the same valuation, Alphabet would be worth more than Apple is today
So, the path for Alphabet to be worth more than Apple is fairly
Meta Platforms is valued at apximately the same level, so its growth needs to come from earnings
Even though Meta grew earnings per at a 36% pace during the last quarter, let's say that slows to 20% growth while Apple accelerates to a 10% EPS growth rate
If that occurs, five years from now, Apple will have $157 billion in net income, while Meta will have $166 billion
If these two are valued at the same price, then Meta would be the larger company
Amazon trades at a much higher premium than Apple
It has earned this due to its rapid earnings growth, but it's unly to last forever
Amazon and Meta have similar net incomes, and even if Amazon's earnings growth decelerates to a 20% pace and its valuation drops, it would still be valued at a comparable level to Meta Platforms, allowing it to surpass Apple
All three of these companies have excellent growth spects and appear to be great investments to consider purchasing now
Apple is a slow-growing and expensive stock, and I'd sell my s if I owned any and invest in these three
John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors
Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors
Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors
Keithen Drury has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, and Nvidia
The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Nvidia
The Motley Fool recommends the ing options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft
The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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