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Prediction: Buying MercadoLibre Today Could Set You Up for Life

July 8, 2025
03:33 AM
4 min read
AI Enhanced
wealthstockse-commercefintechmarket cyclesseasonal analysismarket

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It's been a roller coaster of a year so far for the stock market. After starting off strong and then plunging with the announcement of new tariffs, it's swinging back...

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4 min read

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investment

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Published

July 8, 2025

03:33 AM

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The Motley Fool

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Key Topics
wealthstockse-commercefintechmarket cyclesseasonal analysismarket

It's been a roller coaster of a year so far for the stock market

After starting off strong and then plunging with the announcement of new tariffs, it's swinging back up nearly 7% year to date

In the short term, in the stock market could be volatile

If you'd invested $1,000 in the S&P 500 at the start of the year, it would have gone as low as $860 in April, but today it would be worth $1,075

In the long term, in the stock market could lead to fabulous wealth

Having a diversified portfolio is an essential part of building wealth over time, and filling it with excellent stocks could help you beat the market

Although you shouldn't rely on just one stock, even a single stock in your portfolio that outperforms could set you up for life

MercadoLibre (MELI -0. 59%) is one stock that has that potential

Image source: Getty Images

Leading in nology MercadoLibre's core is e-commerce

It runs a platform similar to Amazon, serving 18 Latin American countries, and it's growing at a rapid pace

Revenue increased 64% (currency neutral) year over year in the 2025 first quarter, with gross merchandise volume (GMV) up 40%

It performed particularly well in Argentina, one of its main, which has been experiencing high economic volatility

Total items sold increased 28% year over year, but 52% in Argentina, where GMV was up 126%

MercadoLibre has been making imvements to its platform and logistics network to become an even more attractive option for shoppers, especially in grocery

It made user experience upgrades in, ad placements, and a repeat purchase feature, and grocery sales increased 65% over last year in the quarter

It's important to note that while MercadoLibre is actually almost as old as Amazon, the region it serves is way behind the U

In e-commerce penetration

Management says it lags by a decade, with only 14% penetration, in contrast with 29% in the U

That's how it's still able to report such incredible growth

As it reaches more people and offers greater value, it's drawing greater interest and bringing more customers online

It has a long way to go to even reach other global penetration levels, which are still low and growing as a percentage of total retail sales

Beyond e-commerce, MercadoLibre has developed a robust fin segment that grew out of its underbanked population's need to pay for ducts

These days, the company offers a competitive suite of services that include digital payments, credit cards, tools, and more, and it's also growing quickly

In the first quarter, total payment volume increased 72% from last year, and monthly active users were up 30%

The credit portfolio was up 75%, and assets under management more than doubled

The opportunity here is huge, too

Only 28% of the population in its region has a credit card, versus 67% in the U. , and 74% have bank accounts, versus 95% in the U

How MercadoLibre stock can set you up for life We've established that MercadoLibre is growing at a fast rate and has a massive opportunity

How will that translate into stock gains

As a fun and constructive exercise, consider that toward the end of 2009, Amazon had a revenue similar to MercadoLibre's current trailing 12-month revenue

It's grown 2,900% since then, and its stock has increased nearly 4,700%

If MercadoLibre can a similar trajectory, its stock could create similar holder wealth

Incidentally, as shown in the chart below, MercadoLibre has grown and gained much more over the same period to reach its current levels

If you had invested $10,000 in Amazon stock in 2009, you'd have nearly $500,000 today, 16 years later

If you invest a similar amount in MercadoLibre today and hold it for the next two or even three decades, there's a chance you could have a lot more

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors

Jennifer Saibil has positions in MercadoLibre

The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon and MercadoLibre

The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.