David Zervos, JefferiesScott Mlyn | CNBCThe chances that Jefferies Chief Market Strategist David Zervos will become the next Federal Reserve chair are jumping on prediction market Kalshi as the Trump administration considers several candidates to succeed current fed Chair Jerome Powell once his term expires next year.Users on Kalshi increased their bets that President Donald Trump will nominate Zervos to 15% on Wednesday after sources told CNBC that Trump is looking at 11 candidates for Fed chair, including Zervos as well as others such as former Fed Governor Larry Lindsey and Rick Rieder – BlackRock's chief investment officer for global fixed income.Zervos' bability of becoming Trump's pick tied that of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's, who was once considered the front-runner for the position.
At one point early Wednesday, Zervos' chances even topped Warsh's at 17% to 15%, respectively.Fed Governor Chris Waller still sits in the No.
1 spot on the platform, with odds at 31%, while National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett's odds are now at 20%.Zoom In IconArrows pointing outwardsBoth Hassett and Warsh odds shot up on prediction after Trump talked up "the Kevins" on CNBC last week, saying they are both "very good."The two have advocated for lower interest rates.
Powell, whose term ends in May 2026, has been a frequent target of Trump's criticism for refusing to cut rates.In the most recent Fed decision in July, Waller, along with Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, publicly dissented with the central bank's decision to hold rates steady.
Waller, who was nominated by Trump to the Fed in 2020, said its wait-and-see apach is "overly cautious."Bloomberg News reported last week, citing people familiar with the matter, that Trump's advisors Waller's openness to adjust monetary policy based on forecasting, rather than current data.
It also reported that Waller has met with Trump's team the Fed chief role but hasn't met with the president himself.Don’t miss these insights from CNBC Nvidia gets price target hike from Goldman Sachs ahead of earningsA bearish 'double top' pattern just formed in the Dow.
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