Is Nvidia the Top Artificial Intelligence Stock to Buy in July?
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The Motley Fool

Is Nvidia the Top Artificial Intelligence Stock to Buy in July?

July 1, 2025
01:00 PM
4 min read
AI Enhanced
investmentmoneytradingtechnologycloud computingmarket cyclesseasonal analysismarket

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As we reach the halfway mark in 2025, it's that artificial intelligence (AI) remains a dominant theme in the market. This hasn't changed since the start of 2023, so some...

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investment

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July 1, 2025

01:00 PM

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investmentmoneytradingtechnologycloud computingmarket cyclesseasonal analysismarket

As we reach the halfway mark in 2025, it's that artificial intelligence (AI) remains a dominant theme in the market

This hasn't changed since the start of 2023, so some investors may be becoming a bit fatigued from all the AI-related hype

However, the reality is that there has never been a larger investment theme

Most AI hyperscalers are jecting record capital expenditures for 2025, primarily focused on expanding their cloud computing capacity for AI applications

That will help one company more than any other: Nvidia (NVDA -3

Nvidia has been the top AI stock pick for several years now, and it remains a strong choice for the future

But is it the best AI stock to buy in July

Image source: Getty Images

Data center growth isn't over Nvidia manufactures graphics cessing units (GPUs) -- chips that were originally designed to allow computers to generate high-quality graphics in games

What allows them to do that so well is that these chips are parallel cessors -- specifically suited to handling the types of computations that can easily be broken down into a large number of small tasks that can be handled simultaneously

Among the types of high-performance workloads that fit that particular bill are training and running AI models

Nvidia has competitors in the data center GPU market, but none come close to the nology and supporting ducts that it offers

Most estimates peg its market in that niche at around 90%, which is incredible considering the substantial amount of money spent on data centers

Data center spending is also jected to skyrocket over the next few years

During his keynote at Nvidia's 2025 GTC developer event, CEO Jensen Huang cited a third-party estimate that data center capital expenditures totaled $400 billion in 2024

Considering that Nvidia generated $115 billion in data center revenue during its fiscal 2025 (which encompassed most of 2024), it's that a solid chunk of that spending flowed its way

That same estimate also forecast that data center capital expenditures would rise to $1 trillion by 2028

If Nvidia can maintain its of those expenditures, its revenue would more than double over that period

That presents quite the bullish case for Nvidia stock, and even if the actual spending comes in below the $1 trillion mark, the chipmaker's growth should still be impressive

AI computing capacity is far from being fully built out to the degree that the sector expects to need, which keeps the story behind Nvidia's stock intact

But is the stock priced at a reasonable level for new investors to capitalize on future growth

Nvidia's stock trades in line with its peers There's a common notion that Nvidia's stock has become quite expensive, but that's something investors need to get out of their heads

While it may have been true early on in the AI arms race, that's no longer the case

It trades today at 36 times forward earnings, which is right around where some of its big peers are trading -- and Nvidia is growing at a faster rate than they are

NVDA PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts

Microsoft and Amazon trade for 37 and 34 times forward earnings, respectively

Yet during their most recently reported quarters, Microsoft grew its revenue at a 13% pace, while Amazon grew at a 9% pace

I'm not trying to argue that Nvidia is cheap, but its valuation is hovering around the same levels as its big peers

If its data center GPU sales grow at the rates that it expects, then the price today will be inconsequential years down the road

As a result, I'm confident in labeling Nvidia as the best AI stock to buy in July

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors

Keithen Drury has positions in Amazon and Nvidia

The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Microsoft, and Nvidia

The Motley Fool recommends the ing options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft

The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.