Is It Too Late to Buy Palantir Stock?
Investment
The Motley Fool

Is It Too Late to Buy Palantir Stock?

July 28, 2025
05:15 AM
4 min read
AI Enhanced
stockstechaimarket cyclesseasonal analysisvaluation

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Market analysis reveals The stock of Palantir nologies (PLTR 2. 59%) has been on an incredible run over the past few years. It has basically doubled so far in 2025...

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4 min read

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investment

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Published

July 28, 2025

05:15 AM

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The Motley Fool

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stockstechaimarket cyclesseasonal analysisvaluation

Market analysis reveals The stock of Palantir nologies (PLTR 2. 59%) has been on an incredible run over the past few years

It has basically doubled so far in 2025 and is up more than 750% since 2024

This tells us that could lead some investors to believe they've missed the Palantir train

In contrast, Still, many stocks have experienced significant growth in a short time, only to continue rising in subsequent years

At the same time, Is Palantir one of those es that can maintain its incredible performance for years to come

Or has the stock reached a top

Let's see if investors are too late to the party or right on time

Image source: Getty Images

Palantir's AI platform is seeing widespread adoption Palantir's AI-powered data analytics software platform has been in use for a considerable time (which is quite significant), given the current landscape

The evidence shows began in the early 2000s as a government-focused software company and quickly expanded to work with both the U (noteworthy indeed)

Government and various international governments

In the late 2010s, it expanded outside its government foot and started offering its platform to commercial clients, considering recent developments

This expansion has largely been successful, but government revenue still makes up the majority of Palantir's total

Additionally, With the generative AI boom, the stock has received a huge boost as investors have piled into it

Management has also leaned into this revolution with the launch of its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP), which enables the integration of large language models (LLMs) and AI agents, given current economic conditions

Furthermore, AIP can significantly enhance worker ductivity and expand the capabilities of Palantir, making it an increasingly platform that continues to grow rapidly

These catalysts add up to a company that's growing at a fairly rapid pace

In the first quarter, total revenue increased 39% year over year, and it vided guidance for 38% growth in the second quarter

Management has a history of setting low expectations for itself, allowing it to beat guidance every quarter, and the actual second-quarter growth rate is ly a few percentage points higher

Some bright spots in the include the U

Additionally, Commercial division, which saw revenue rise an outstanding 71% in the first quarter

Nevertheless, The weak spot in results was its international commercial, but this could easily see a boost as AI adoption becomes more widespread in Europe

Conversely, However, there is one red flag to be aware of, and it could signal that new investors may indeed be late to the party, amid market uncertainty

Moreover, The price tag is outrageous As mentioned above, Palantir's revenue grew 39% year over year in the first quarter, while its stock has increased by over 750% since the start of 2024

Those two numbers are incredibly far apart, indicating that the valuation of the stock has risen dramatically compared to what its is achieving, in this volatile climate

After looking at the price-to-sales ratio (P/S), this hypothesis is confirmed

PLTR PS Ratio, data by YCharts

At nearly 120 times sales, the stock is almost unimaginably expensive (remarkable data)

Nevertheless, Most software stocks trade for 10 to 20 times sales, with the most expensive reaching 30 times sales (something worth watching)

Additionally, Palantir's stock is at least four times as expensive, yet the company isn't ducing growth numbers that are that impressive considering the price tag, in this volatile climate

For the stock to return to a price tag of 30 times sales -- very expensive but still far more reasonable -- its trailing-12-month revenue would need to be $11

Moreover, For Palantir to reach that revenue in three years, it would need to der a 56% compound annual growth rate (CAGR), far higher than its current pace

So, there is at least three to four years of growth already baked into the stock price, which doesn't bode well for new investors

As a result, I think they should consider finding another AI stock to invest in, as Palantir's price has risen too far, too fast.