Is Coca-Cola Stock a Long-Term Buy?
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The world's top beverage maker is still an evergreen investment.
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July 6, 2025
04:15 AM
The Motley Fool
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The world's top beverage maker is still an evergreen investment
Coca-Cola (KO 0. 55%), the world's largest beverage company, is often considered an evergreen stock for patient investors
Over the past 40 years, it generated a total return of 3,260% after including its reinvested dividends
But as most investors should know by now, past performance never guarantees future gains
So let's take a fresh look at Coca-Cola, why it generates such consistent growth, and if it's still a dependable long-term buy
Image source: Getty Images
Coca-Cola's core strengths Coca-Cola might seem a shaky investment as soda consumption rates decline worldwide, but it's diversified its portfolio with more brands of bottled water, tea, fruit juices, sports drinks, energy drinks, coffee, and even alcoholic beverages to offset that pressure
It also refreshed its flagship sodas with new flavors, sugar-free versions, and smaller serving sizes to attract younger consumers
Coca-Cola only sells the concentrates and syrups for its drinks, while its bottling partners duce and sell the ducts
That capital-light model helps Coca-Cola generate consistent fits and insulates it from inflation and other regional macro challenges
From 1984 to 2024, Coca-Cola grew its revenue and split-adjusted EPS at a CAGR of 5% and 6%, respectively
It achieved that stable growth through five globally recognized recessions
It's also a Dividend King which has raised its dividend annually for 63 consecutive years
Its forward yield of 2. 9% might seem low compared to the 10-Year Treasury's 4. 3% yield, but it should become more appealing if interest rates continue to decline over the next few years
From 2024 to 2027, analysts expect Coca-Cola's revenue and EPS to grow at a CAGR of 5% and 11%, respectively
That growth should be driven by its rapid expansion in India and Latin America with new brands, robust sales of its wellness-oriented brands (including Fairlife milk, Simply prebiotic soda, and its sugar-free sodas); more strategic acquisitions, fresh variations of its classic brands, and operating efficiencies from its AI-driven duct development, analytics, pricing, and marketing tools
The company should also continue to optimize its supply chain, refranchise its bottlers, and prune its weaker brands
At $71 per, Coca-Cola still looks reasonably valued at 24 times its forward adjusted earnings -- and it should remain a safe stock to hold during both bull and bear
Coca-Cola's core weaknesses However, investors shouldn't gloss over Coca-Cola's weaknesses
First, its growth is cooling in developed the U
And Europe, where it faces tougher competition from newer, healthier, and private label beverages
It needs to counter that slowdown by ramping up its investments in its higher-growth emerging -- but inflation, currency devaluation, political turmoil, undeveloped supply chains and logistics networks, and other unpredictable challenges could disrupt those plans
The trade wars and elevated tariffs -- especially on the aluminum used in its cans -- could also drive its bottlers to raise their prices
If those price hikes coincide with a recession and weaker consumer spending, its shipments and margins could decline
Coca-Cola also doesn't look a bargain compared to PepsiCo (PEP -0. 76%), which trades at just 17 times forward earnings and pays a much higher forward dividend yield of 4
PepsiCo currently faces some blems in its packaged foods divisions (a market Coca-Cola hasn't entered), but PepsiCo could eventually overcome those issues and attract more income-oriented investors with its lower valuation and higher yield
Lastly, Coca-Cola has consistently underperformed the S&P 500, which generated a total return of 3,460% over the past 40 years
Even if you reduce that timeframe to 30, 20, and 10 years, the S&P 500 still beats Coca-Cola
That's bably because Coca-Cola's stock -- other defensive blue chip stocks -- generally loses its luster during bull as investors rotate toward riskier and higher-growth plays
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has generated an average annual return of more than 10% since its inception in 1957
So is Coca-Cola a good long-term buy
I believe Coca-Cola's evergreen brands, scale and diversification, stable fits, and rising dividends make it a reliable long-term investment
But shouldn't be your only stock, since it tends to underperform the S&P 500 over the long term
Instead, it can serve as a safe income-generating anchor in a diversified portfolio with other higher-growth plays
Leo Sun has no position in any of the stocks mentioned
The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned
The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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