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Is BigBear.ai Your Ticket to Becoming a Millionaire?

July 2, 2025
06:30 AM
4 min read
AI Enhanced
investmentstockstechnologygovernment servicesmarket cyclesseasonal analysismarket

Key Takeaways

Ai (BBAI 13. 68%) is a artificial intelligence (AI) stock pick due to its pure-play in the space. There aren't many investments that are solely focused on AI, which attracts...

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investment

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Published

July 2, 2025

06:30 AM

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Key Topics
investmentstockstechnologygovernment servicesmarket cyclesseasonal analysismarket

Ai (BBAI 13. 68%) is a artificial intelligence (AI) stock pick due to its pure-play in the space

There aren't many investments that are solely focused on AI, which attracts investors to these ideas

Ai is also a small company, with a market cap of around $1

It wouldn't take much growth to turn this into a much larger, but is it enough to make you a millionaire from a modest investment

Image source: Getty Images

Ai has significant customer concentration For BigBear

Ai to make you a millionaire, let's say it needs to der 100 times the returns

This would transform $10,000 into $1 million if it achieves that growth level

Ai focuses on viding AI solutions, primarily to government entities

Although it doesn't name its clients, BigBear

Ai generates a significant portion of its revenue from a handful of clients, ly different government departments

In 2024, 52% of revenue came from just four customers

That's inherently an issue, as one of those customers could cut its spending with BigBear

Ai and cause significant turmoil within the

However, many companies thrived with only having a few clients as customers, so this is just a risk, not a disqualifier

Ai seems to be doing quite well with some of its clients

Last year, it was awarded a five-year, $165 million contract to develop the U

Army's Global Force Information Management-Objective Environment

This is a significant development, as it generates an average of $33 million in revenue per year for BigBear

Considering that its total revenue over the past 12 months was only $160 million, this contract is a huge boost for BigBear

BBAI Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts However, it needs to continue capturing large contracts in order to succeed

With President Donald Trump's crackdown on some levels of government spending, this could ve difficult in the near future

Ai faces an uphill battle

Still, if it can capture a few contracts here and there, it has massive upside potential, but it needs to show some life in the near future

Ai's growth needs to accelerate to be on most investors' radar screens In Q1, BigBear

Ai's revenue only rose 5% year over year to $34

Considering the significance of AI, this seems an incredibly slow growth rate

However, its backlog grew 30% year over year to $385 million, indicating strength in capturing new contracts

Ai needs to start recognizing some revenue from these contracts, as 5% growth won't suffice, especially when other competitors are dering significantly higher levels

Another highly recognized AI company that has significant exposure to the U

Government is Palantir nologies

Palantir saw 45% revenue growth to $373 million in Q1 for its U

Government-related, so it's that Palantir is both larger and faster-growing than BigBear

Ai in the government realm

Ai were dering the same growth rate as Palantir with government clients, I'd be far more excited the stock

But because it's only growing by 5%, I'm extremely skeptical

One saving grace of BigBear

Ai's stock is its relatively cheap price

BBAI PS Ratio data by YCharts At around 11 times sales, BigBear

Ai trades at the low end of the typical 10 to 20 times sales range that software companies are usually valued at

However, most software companies aren't growing at 5% year over year, which is why BigBear

Ai's valuation appears to be deceptively low

With the current state, I don't think BigBear

Ai is a millionaire-maker stock

If it starts landing big contracts and growing at a rapid pace, I may change my stance

But as of right now, there are far too many better AI stock picks out there than BigBear

Keithen Drury has no position in any of the stocks mentioned

The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Palantir nologies

The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.