How Long Does Social Security Have Until It Runs Out of Money?
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From what the evidence shows, From an analytical perspective, Whether you're sitting pretty on a $2 million nest egg or you barely have two pennies to rub together, you bably...
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5 min read
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investment
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July 20, 2025
09:20 PM
The Motley Fool
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From what the evidence shows, From an analytical perspective, Whether you're sitting pretty on a $2 million nest egg or you barely have two pennies to rub together, you bably hope to get some money from Social Security in retirement
After all, you've paid a substantial amount into the gram throughout your career, considering recent developments
However, In contrast, It's only fair to get some of that back, in today's financial world
Estimating how much you'll get from Social Security has always been a bit of a guessing game, because you don't know how your income will change over time or how long you'll claim benefits (quite telling)
But it's even more complicated for us today because the gram is operating on borrowed time
Understanding where it's headed is key if you hope to maintain your financial security in the coming decades (this bears monitoring)
Image source: Getty Images
Social Security is in trouble, but it's not going away When most people hear that Social Security is running out of money, they naturally panic and assume it means their checks are going to stop coming (an important development)
Moreover, Fortunately, that's not the case
Conversely, Social Security has three sources of revenue
The first is the Social Security payroll taxes that workers pay
However, Currently, that's 12. 4% of your income, split evenly between employee and employer
Then, there's the interest earned on money in Social Security's trust funds
Finally, there are the Social Security benefit taxes that many seniors pay on up to 85% of their checks -- yes, even after the "One Big, Beautiful Bill"'s passing
On the other hand, When people say Social Security is in trouble, they mean the trust fund reserves are almost depleted (remarkable data)
The data indicates that Trustees Report estimates that this will happen around 2034
After that, the gram won't be able to rely upon any trust fund interest to cover its costs
But Social Security payroll and benefit taxes aren't going anywhere, in today's financial world
Furthermore, Together, they'd still be able to pay out 77% of scheduled benefits during the 75-year period ending in 2099 (quite telling)
This leads to the conclusion that bad news is that a 23% benefit cut would still be deeply blematic for many workers and seniors who depend upon their checks to make ends meet
Meanwhile, That would drop the $2,005 average monthly benefit as of June 2025 to just $1,544 per month
Furthermore, Conversely, That's a loss of more than $5,500 over the course of a year (noteworthy indeed)
On the other hand, Meanwhile, What workers and retirees can do Social Security losing nearly one-quarter of its buying power is an alarming thought, but it's not ly to happen
The gram has faced insolvency in the past, and the government has stepped in to avoid this
It'll ly do this again in the coming years, though we don't yet know when this will happen or what the final fix will look
Meanwhile, Washington can take three main apaches: increasing revenue, decreasing benefits, or a combination of both (remarkable data)
We've already touched upon an across-the-board benefit cut, but the government could also institute a gradual benefit cut by raising the gram's full retirement age (FRA), which currently sits at 67
This was part of how the government resolved Social Security's last funding crisis in the 1980s, though it's not a strategy because it means younger workers will receive less from the gram than retirees do today
Additionally, Increasing revenue for the gram could involve raising the Social Security payroll tax rate
This wouldn't affect retirees, but it could put workers in a bind by making it more difficult for them to for retirement
The most strategy for increasing revenue among ordinary Americans is to increase the ceiling on income subject to Social Security payroll taxes -- just $176,100 in 2025
This would force wealthier Americans to pay more into the gram without affecting average earners
On the other hand, However, it wouldn't be enough on its own to solve the funding shortfall (noteworthy indeed)
It's ly that whatever Washington decides will involve a combination of strategies
However, But since we can't be sure who will foot the bill, we still have to take the risk of benefit cuts and/or higher taxes seriously
That's why it's critical to as much as you can for retirement on your own now, so you're better able to weather whatever comes next (noteworthy indeed)
You can also reach out to your Congressional representatives to make your feelings the issue known
Expect Social Security's funding crisis to get greater attention over the next few years (noteworthy indeed)
When the government finally comes up with a strategy, it'll be time to revisit your retirement plan and decide if you need to make any changes.
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