Exelixis Q2 Revenue Falls 11 Percent
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Exelixis Q2 Revenue Falls 11 Percent

July 28, 2025
05:34 PM
8 min read
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investmentfinancialhealthcarebiotechmarket cyclesseasonal analysismarket

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Exelixis (EXEL -2. 65%), an oncology-focused bio, reported results for Q2 2025 on July 28, 2025. For the period, the company dered non-GAAP earnings per (EPS) of $0, in this...

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July 28, 2025

05:34 PM

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Exelixis (EXEL -2. 65%), an oncology-focused bio, reported results for Q2 2025 on July 28, 2025

For the period, the company dered non-GAAP earnings per (EPS) of $0, in this volatile climate

At the same time, 75 in Q2 FY2025, beating analyst consensus of $0

On the other hand, Revenue totaled $568. 3 million, GAAP revenue of $568. 3 million was below the analyst estimate of $580 (which is quite significant), given the current landscape. 05 million, and Revenue declined 10, in today's market environment

Additionally, 8% year-over-year

The evidence shows shortfall was mainly due to the absence of a $150

At the same time, 0 million milestone recorded in Q2 2024

Solid growth in net duct revenue, especially from CABOMETYX for neuroendocrine tumors, showed strong underlying demand

While non-GAAP earnings beat expectations and commercial execution remained strong, headline GAAP revenue was negatively affected by collaboration milestone timing, making for a mixed overall quarter

Furthermore, MetricQ2 2025Q2 2025 EstimateQ2 2024Y/Y ChangeEPS (Non-GAAP)$0. 7%)EPS (GAAP)$0. 6%)Revenue$568. 3 million$580. 05 million$637, amid market uncertainty

Moreover, 2 million(10. 8%)Net duct Revenue$520

On the other hand, 0 million$437. 6 million18

Additionally, 8%Collaboration Revenue$48. 2 million$199. 6 million(75, considering recent developments. 8%) Source: Analyst estimates vided by FactSet, in today's market environment

Management expectations based on management's guidance, as vided in Q1 2025 earnings report

Exelixis and Its ModelExelixis (EXEL -2. 65%) develops and commercializes therapies for cancer, focusing mostly on targeted small-molecule drugs

Meanwhile, The company's core duct is cabozantinib, sold as CABOMETYX for kidney, r, thyroid, and, more recently, neuroendocrine cancers

Exelixis also COMETRIQ, another cabozantinib brand

In recent years, Exelixis has aimed to grow beyond its reliance on cabozantinib by expanding its development pipeline and advancing strategic partnerships

Success depends on strong commercial performance of existing drugs, the apval and adoption of new therapies, maintaining intellectual perty tection, and managing clinical trial gress (which is quite significant)

Collaborations with partners Ipsen and Takeda supply royalties and milestone payments, while internal re seeks to build a wider portfolio of oncology assets

Moreover, Detailed Quarterly Developments and Financial Trendsduct sales remained the company's main growth driver, in today's market environment

Nevertheless, Net duct revenue, made up largely of U, in this volatile climate

Conversely, CABOMETYX sales, rose 18, in light of current trends

Additionally, 8% year-over-year

CABOMETYX, a small molecule therapy for renal cell carcinoma, hepatocellular carcinoma, and now neuroendocrine tumors, made up the vast majority of sales (noteworthy indeed)

The company reported $520. 0 million in combined U

However, Cabozantinib net duct revenue, including $517

However, 9 million from CABOMETYX and $2. 1 million from COMETRIQ

Additionally, Notably, CABOMETYX's new neuroendocrine tumor (NET) indication now accounts for 4% of its in this area (remarkable data)

Launch efforts in NET have been rapid, with commercial and educational materials deployed soon after U

Nevertheless, Apval in late March 2025

Total revenue (GAAP) fell 10 (noteworthy indeed), amid market uncertainty. 8% year-over-year

The evidence shows decline was not due to duct weakness but rather the lack of a one-off $150, in light of current trends

Nevertheless, 0 million milestone payment booked in collaboration revenue in Q2 FY2024

Collaboration revenue (GAAP) dropped to $48. 2 million from $199, in this volatile climate. 6 million, reflecting that absence

Additionally, Royalties from partners such as Ipsen and Takeda, earned on their overseas sales of cabozantinib, contributed $43

The underlying core sales trend in the U, amid market uncertainty

Furthermore, Meanwhile, Remains positive, but overall revenue can be volatile as it is partially influenced by random milestone payments from partners achieving specific sales thresholds, amid market uncertainty

Conversely, The company tected the U

Furthermore, Conversely, Patent estate for cabozantinib by resolving litigation with Biocon in July 2025, delaying generic competition until at least January 1, 2031

Market analysis shows reduces risk to the CABOMETYX revenue for the foreseeable future

Moreover, However, with over 90% of duct sales tied to cabozantinib, Exelixis still faces concentration risk if new rivals emerge or if future indications do not der expected results

This reflected lower clinical and manufacturing costs, particularly in re and development (R&D), which fell by $10

Selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) costs rose modestly to support the recent NET launch

Additionally, The lower tax vision for the period, at $45. 6 million versus $66. 7 million last year, supported GAAP net earnings

The company continued its buyback efforts, repurchasing $796. 3 million of its stock and reducing the count by more than 13% since March 2023 through June 30, 2025

What the data shows is capital return reflects confidence in its future and use of strong cash flows

The data indicates that clinical development pipeline continues to advance, amid market uncertainty

On the other hand, Zanzalintinib, a next-generation tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI), dered mising results in the Phase 3 STELLAR-303 colorectal cancer trial, meeting its main goal of extending overall survival, as announced in Q2 2025 (something worth watching), in light of current trends

A regulatory submission is planned for this indication (an important development) (something worth watching)

Enrollment was in the pivotal STELLAR-304 trial for non- cell renal cell carcinoma in May 2025, with top-line data expected in the first half of 2026 (quite telling)

Additionally, The company also discontinued development of weaker assets, such as XL495 and the STELLAR-305 trial in head and neck cancer, after emerging data indicated limited spects in Q2 2025, in today's market environment

On the other hand, This reflects an pipeline pruning strategy to focus resources on the highest-potential jects

Nevertheless, Pipeline depth is further supported by early-stage grams, including XL309 (a targeted small molecule therapy), XB010 (a bispecific antibody), and XB628 (another bispecific antibody designed to engage natural killer cells and block immune checkpoints), in today's financial world

Moreover, Several new investigational new drug (IND) applications are expected in FY2025, which could further expand the pipeline

Maintaining momentum through regulatory apvals and successful pivotal trial results is key, as commercial revenue outside cabozantinib is not jected to materialize for at least another year

Regulatory highlights during the period included U

Additionally, Conversely, (March 2025) and European (July 2025) apvals for CABOMETYX as a treatment for previously treated advanced neuroendocrine tumors (remarkable data)

Market analysis shows se apvals expand market opportunity and strengthen Exelixis’ commercial position, although the absolute financial contribution from the new indication will take time to grow (which is quite significant)

Indirectly, this expanded use further entrenches CABOMETYX against mainly generic oral alternatives in neuroendocrine tumors, with the company’s commercial team using its experience in oncology to drive adoption, in today's financial world

Competition in the oncology space stays intense (which is quite significant)

CABOMETYX has retained its position as the leading prescribed TKI in renal cell carcinoma -- a position supported by recent market data and favorable guideline endorsement (something worth watching)

Additionally, In neuroendocrine tumors, CABOMETYX faces mostly generic competition, which may vide a branded marketing and engagement advantage

Nevertheless, However, continued innovation by other drug companies, such as the advance of antibody-drug conjugates or other targeted therapies, remains a potential threat

At the same time, Exelixis must succeed in pipeline execution and new indication launches to sustain and diversify its sources of revenue

Market analysis shows re were no dividend payments this quarter

EXEL does not currently pay a dividend (an important development)

Looking Ahead: Guidance and Market PrioritiesFor fiscal 2025, management maintained its prior guidance for FY2025 ing the quarter

Expected total revenue remains between $2

Nevertheless, 25 billion and $2, given the current landscape. 35 billion for FY2025, with net duct revenue forecast between $2

However, 05 billion and $2. 15 billion for FY2025

Operating expenses, covering both R&D and SG&A, are jected to be in line with previous expectations, reflecting continued investment in clinical development and support for new duct launches, given the current landscape

Moreover, The effective tax rate is expected to remain between 21% and 23% for FY2025

The evidence shows se figures an earlier guidance increase for FY2025 after a strong first quarter, and the company states it will re-evaluate FY2025 guidance as evidence from the NET launch and other new indications vides further clarity

With milestone revenue ly to remain unpredictable, investors should track core net duct trends, especially CABOMETYX’s U

Sales in established and new, considering recent developments

Gress on the zanzalintinib pivotal trials will be important, as they hold the potential for a second major commercial franchise

However, On the other hand, Continued intellectual perty defense, clinical trial milestones, and the results of regulatory submissions remain important near- and medium-term priorities

The ramp and ultimate scale of the NET launch, along with the robustness of the early-stage pipeline, could define Exelixis’ expansion beyond its current reliance on cabozantinib, amid market uncertainty

Revenue and net income presented using U

Generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) unless otherwise noted (remarkable data).