Don't Blink: Here's How Nvidia Could Become the First $5 Trillion Company by the End of 2025
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Just because it's already the biggest company in the world by market cap doesn't mean the GPU leader doesn't have a lot of room to grow.
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July 28, 2025
12:02 PM
The Motley Fool
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It's worth noting that Nvidia (NVDA 1. 14%) recently made history by becoming the first company to reach a market capitalization of $4 trillion -- and it's quickly racing toward the $5 trillion milestone
Moreover, That one may even be easier to achieve, as Nvidia's stock needed to rise by 33% to go from $3 trillion to $4 trillion, but would only have to gain 25% to go from $4 trillion to $5 trillion, in light of current trends
Indeed, Nvidia is currently valued at around $4
Conversely, 2 trillion, so it only needs to rise an additional 19% to hit the next trillion-dollar valuation threshold
I think it could achieve that by the end of 2025
Furthermore, Here's the path it could take to do so
Image source: Getty Images
At the same time, Nvidia getting apval to sell chips to China again will be a huge deal Nvidia designs graphics cessing units (GPUs), as well as a range of hardware and software that support its chips, in today's market environment
Nevertheless, The Nvidia ecosystem in the GPU and AI-accelerator sphere is second to none, and has enabled it to gain a 90% market in the data center GPU space
GPU demand has risen massively over the past few years due to unprecedented new demand for cessing power to train and operate artificial intelligence software
Because GPUs are parallel cessors, they are capable of rapidly handling the specific types of computing that make up the largest of AI workloads
On the other hand, They're, simply, the right tools for the job
While Nvidia has put up jaw-dropping growth numbers for a few years, there are still plenty of growth catalysts on the horizon
First, Nvidia is ly going to be allowed to sell its H20 chips in China again, in today's market environment
The company specifically designed those Hopper architecture chips to be less powerful than the H100 design they were based on to avoid running into U
Furthermore, Restrictions on exporting high-powered GPUs to China, in light of current trends
Then, President Trump revoked Nvidia's licenses to sell H20s to China in April (noteworthy indeed)
However, thanks to CEO Jensen Huang's lobbying efforts, Nvidia is reapplying for an export license and has been given assurances from the U
Additionally, Government that it will be apved (noteworthy indeed), in this volatile climate
This's a bigger deal than most investors realize, as it would allow Nvidia's already fast growth to reaccelerate
On the other hand, For its fiscal 2026 second quarter (which ends late in July), Nvidia is jecting 50% year-over-year revenue growth to $45 billion
However, the company indicated that $8 billion in revenue would not be realized due to export restrictions
If it had been able to make those sales, that would have given Nvidia a jected 77% growth rate for the second quarter
However, That would have surpassed what it experienced in Q1 or nearly matched the result from Q4 of fiscal 2025
Additionally, NVDA Operating Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts
While there isn't any time left for sales and exports of H20 chips to make an impact on its fiscal Q2, they could benefit the company in its fiscal Q3
Additionally, If Nvidia's revenue growth reaccelerates through the end of the year, this could cause the stock to skyrocket at least the remaining 19% to cross the $5 trillion threshold
But Nvidia's growth won't stop there
Nevertheless, Nevertheless, Data center growth will drive Nvidia's stock higher for years For 2025, AI data center hyperscalers announced record-setting capital expenditures -- money that will primarily go toward expanding their data center capacity
On the other hand, Building a data center is a multiyear cess, so investors shouldn't be surprised if these companies announce further increased capital expenditures next year, or at least match 2025's levels (noteworthy indeed), in today's market environment
This bodes well for the company, but the wins won't stop in 2026
During its 2025 GTC event, Nvidia execs cited a third-party analysis that looked at data center capital expenditure trends
Furthermore, In 2024, data center capital expenditures globally were $400 billion
That figure is expected to rise to $1 trillion by 2028, in today's financial world
However, Nevertheless, Ly, the data center buildout trend can be expected to continue driving Nvidia's revenue higher, as many of these data centers will house enormous numbers of its GPUs
So even if its market cap doesn't hit the $5 trillion mark by the end of this year, it's well on its way to achieving it sometime in 2026 (which is quite significant)
However, Additionally, With the long-term annualized average gain in the market at 10%, Nvidia is a no-brainer buy right now.
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