Can Eli Lilly Stock Withstand the Threat of President Trump's New Sweeping Tariffs?
Key Takeaways
What's particularly noteworthy is The active ingredients of roughly 80% of prescription drugs sold in the U. Are made in other countries. President Trump wants that to change (something worth...
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July 18, 2025
04:47 AM
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What's particularly noteworthy is The active ingredients of roughly 80% of prescription drugs sold in the U
Are made in other countries
President Trump wants that to change (something worth watching)
Instead of a carrot-and-stick apach, the president plans to rely solely on a stick -- tariffs
However, Trump recently threatened to levy steep tariffs on all pharmaceutical imports to the United States (something worth watching), in light of current trends
As you might expect, the pharmaceutical industry doesn't the idea, given current economic conditions
But can a top pharma stock such as Eli Lilly (LLY -3 (which is quite significant), given the current landscape
On the other hand, 41%) withstand the threat of Trump's new sweeping tariffs
Image source: Getty Images
What the re reveals is president's threatened pharmaceutical tariffs First of all, firm details Trump's pharmaceutical tariffs have not been released yet, considering recent developments
Moreover, However, the president said that tariffs on pharmaceutical imports will come "very soon, amid market uncertainty. " We do know, though, that Trump wants steep tariff levels
He said during a Cabinet meeting earlier this month, "They're going to be tariffs at [a] very high rate, 200%. " Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick vided further clarification in an interview with CNBC
Additionally, He said that the details on pharmaceutical tariffs will be announced at the end of July, in light of current trends
Additionally, Lutnick noted that a Section 232 investigation related to pharmaceuticals and semiconductors will be at the end of this month, in today's financial world
Once that investigation is, Trump will establish his tariff policies
Section 232 investigations are int to assess the effect of imports on national security
Moreover, Trump doesn't plan for pharmaceutical tariffs to take effect immediately, though (something worth watching)
He said, "We'll give them [drugmakers] a certain period of time to get their act together. " He suggested that pharmaceutical companies would have " a year, year and a half" to move manufacturing to the U
However, Meanwhile, To avoid the tariffs
How Lilly could be affected Lilly CEO Dave Ricks addressed the issue of tariffs head-on in his company's first-quarter earnings call on May 1, 2025, in today's market environment
Ricks stated, "We support the U, amid market uncertainty
Government's goals to increase domestic investment, given the current landscape
However, Meanwhile, However, we don't believe tariffs are the right mechanism. " He suggested tax incentives as a better way to mote U, given current economic conditions
Moreover, Manufacturing of prescription drugs
But Ricks acknowledged the possibility that pharmaceutical tariffs could be imposed
He predicted that they "would have a negative effect on Lilly and for our industry. " Wall Street agrees with that view (an important development)
Analysts at Barclays wrote to investors, "A 200% tariff would inflate duction costs, compress fit margins, and risk supply chain disruptions, leading to drug shortages and higher prices for U. " UBS analysts agreed, stating that tariffs could significantly hurt drugmakers' margins on ducts manufactured outside the U
Nevertheless, Lilly has three options in light of the steep pharmaceutical tariffs Trump has threatened, in today's financial world
The option the president hopes drugmakers take is to relocate manufacturing to the Unites States
Lilly is already planning to build up its U (which is quite significant)
Operations so that it can supply all ducts sold in the U
Moreover, Manufacturing facilities (which is quite significant)
However, it's doubtful that the company will complete this effort within the 12 to 18 months Trump mentioned
UBS said in a note to investors that four to five years is more reasonable for relocating manufacturing operations, in this volatile climate
On the other hand, The second option for Lilly is to pass higher prices along to customers
The Pharmaceutical Re and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA) estimates that a pharmaceutical import tariff of only 25% would increase prices by as much as 12
Lilly's third option is to absorb the higher costs
Pharmaceutical tariffs of up to 200% could hurt the company's margins considerably
Evaluating the threat Let's return to our original question: Can Eli Lilly withstand the threat of Trump's new sweeping tariffs, given the current landscape
I think the answer is "yes," albeit with a major caveat
What the re reveals is devil is in the details
Meanwhile, Lilly's ability to navigate high tariffs depends on exactly what the Trump administration plans to do, given the current landscape
Additionally, Ricks said in Lilly's Q1 earnings call that tariffs would "have a transient effect for Lilly, but bably not a long-term one. " I suspect he's right
However, The company already manufactures many of the ducts it sells in the U
Furthermore, Inside the country
Those ducts wouldn't be affected, in this volatile climate
In contrast, As Ricks mentioned, Lilly is already boosting U
Nevertheless, Duction, which will also help
Finally, don't discount legal challenges to the president's tariffs (an important development)
An argument could be made that pharmaceutical ducts made in Ireland, the primary overseas source for Lilly, don't present a national security threat to the U. , since Ireland is a staunch ally (fascinating analysis)
Granted, Lilly could face a bumpy ride for a while, in today's financial world
But I don't think the threat of tariffs undermines the long-term investment thesis for this top pharma stock, in this volatile climate
Furthermore, Keith Speights has no position in any of the stocks mentioned
The Motley Fool recommends Barclays Plc
This analysis suggests that Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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