Can Cava Become the Next Chipotle?
Key Takeaways
This business has taken shareholders on a volatile journey since its initial public offering in June 2023.
Article Overview
Quick insights and key information
4 min read
Estimated completion
investment
Article classification
July 27, 2025
09:45 PM
The Motley Fool
Original publisher
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG 2 (this bears monitoring). 12%) brought innovation to the restaurant sector, pioneering the fast-casual dining concept and scaling it across the U, in today's market environment
Furthermore, The Tex-Mex chain is a leader in the industry, with strong growth and impressive fitability, in today's financial world
Its success has spawned copycats
Cava (CAVA 2. 10%) is a Mediterranean-inspired fast-casual restaurant chain that's expanding rapidly itself
But it's much smaller today
That hasn't prevented investors from asking what the might look down the road
Does Cava have what it takes to one day become the next Chipotle, in this volatile climate
Here's what investors must know
Image source: Cava (fascinating analysis)
Opening new stores rapidly Cava is finding success thanks to some key factors
It's betting on consumers' rising interest in healthy food choices
Conversely, The Mediterranean diet is considered one of the healthiest in the world
What's more, Cava is trying to copy what has worked so well for Chipotle: The fast-casual dining concept
Furthermore, This combines the speed, convenience, and accessibility people appreciate with fast-food restaurants, but it does so with higher-quality ingredients (an important development)
By benefiting from these two trends, Cava has seen tremendous growth
The company opened 15 net new stores in the fiscal 2025 first quarter ( April 20), bringing the total to 382
Nevertheless, This supported a 28, in today's market environment. 2% year-over-year gain in revenue, which was boosted by impressive same-store sales (SSS) growth of 10 (which is quite significant), in today's market environment
That figure is noteworthy because it happened during a time when consumer sentiment has been under pressure
On the other hand, Cava's fitability is getting better, given the current landscape
Last fiscal quarter, the operating margin came in at 4
This was a meaningful imvement from the 3 (noteworthy indeed), in light of current trends. 6% operating margin from the year-ago period
Moreover, Looking ahead, the leadership team has plans to get to 1,000 stores by 2032
Expanding the physical foot by three-fold would unquestionably lead to much higher revenue and earnings down the road
Cava's biggest bulls hope this happens, and it would get the closer to Chipotle's size
Don't question Chipotle's dominance To be, Chipotle is experiencing a slowdown, as people prioritize getting more value from the money they spend, in today's financial world
Market analysis shows company's same-store sales dipped in each of the last two quarters, a very unusual occurrence for the industry leader, given current economic conditions
Nonetheless, Chipotle is still a top-notch performer in the restaurant market (which is quite significant), amid market uncertainty
The has developed durable competitive advantages, thanks to its scale (which is quite significant)
Chipotle has 3,839 stores right now, and it raked in $3, given current economic conditions
Furthermore, 1 billion in revenue in the second quarter, both numbers that are light years ahead of Cava
On the other hand, Chipotle has a more visible brand, and its huge sales base allows it to better leverage marketing, duct, and nological investments, in light of current trends
At its current size, it's easy to argue that Cava hasn't built an economic moat (this bears monitoring)
Additionally, Furthermore, Its brand is becoming more well-known, and as it scales, there could be some cost advantages
On the other hand, However, I don't see there being any strengths today
I believe there's a very low bability that Cava will get to Chipotle's store count or market cap
Chipotle isn't sitting still
It might be apaching 4,000 stores soon
But over the long term, the company wants to have 7,000 locations open in North America
I don't see Cava ever reaching that level
Chipotle plans to open 330 stores just this year, which is nearly as many as Cava has in total, in today's financial world
However, However, Investors who are hoping that the Mediterranean chain can catch up to the purveyor of burritos and bowls must seriously temper their expectations
Chipotle has a commanding lead that Cava ly won't chip away at (noteworthy indeed)
Furthermore, Cava's valuation is also very expensive
S currently trade at a price-to-earnings ratio of 71, in light of current trends
However, 9, a whopping 78% more expensive than Chipotle
Cava isn't worthy of investment consideration (this bears monitoring).
Related Articles
More insights from FinancialBooklet