Before Figma Goes Public, Should You Double Down on Adobe or Bet on the Underdog?
Investment
The Motley Fool

Before Figma Goes Public, Should You Double Down on Adobe or Bet on the Underdog?

July 28, 2025
09:59 AM
4 min read
AI Enhanced
financialsoftwaretechnologymarket cyclesseasonal analysisgeopolitical

Key Takeaways

New IPOs can be exciting, but disrupting the competition isn't as simple as it seems.

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Quick insights and key information

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4 min read

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investment

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Published

July 28, 2025

09:59 AM

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The Motley Fool

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Key Topics
financialsoftwaretechnologymarket cyclesseasonal analysisgeopolitical

What's particularly noteworthy is After a long drought, the initial public offering (IPO) market seems to be springing to life

After more than 1,000 companies debuted on the public during the exuberance of 2021, the ensuing three years have been comparatively quiet, with 181, 154, and 225 IPOs in 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively

With apximately half of 2025 in the rearview mirror, we've already seen nearly 200 IPOs, putting the current year on a pace not seen in quite a while

One of the most anticipated debuts is from the creative software company Figma, which is expected to go public as early as late July

If that name sounds familiar, it's ly because of the attempted 2022 acquisition by rival Adobe (ADBE -0

On the other hand, 38%) that was terminated after antitrust concerns

Let's take a look at both companies to see which is more deserving of investors' capital, given the current landscape

How we got here When Adobe announced its plan to acquire Figma, much ary was generated the move and its associated price tag of $20 billion

To some, it seemed an expensive but necessary move to bring a rival's software offering under Adobe's suite of ducts

Nevertheless, To others, it was an admission that Adobe was losing ground to newer entrants in the creative software space

Additionally, In the end, it didn't end up mattering as the deal fell apart and Figma remained private

Additionally, Since the merger was terminated in December 2023, Adobe's stock has fallen by 38% (this bears monitoring)

Additionally, Meanwhile, Figma is seeking an IPO valuation of $13 billion, $7 billion shy of the price Adobe was willing to pay, considering recent developments

Image source: Getty Images

Software showdown Figma offers web-based collaborative design tools that can be used for a variety of design tasks, including creating flyers, mobile app interfaces, and web designs

At its core, Figma offers many of the same tools available to rs of Adobe's creative suite of software, including applications Photoshop and Illustrator

Moreover, However, the focus should be on how the ducts differ

Figma is web-based, meaning it will work in a web browser

However, Adobe's ducts are applications that need to be downloaded, considering recent developments

There's also a substantial collaboration feature offered by Figma that doesn't exist in the Adobe suite

In contrast, It doesn't take a genius to see how a duct that allows users to easily work on any device that has a web browser while seamlessly collaborating with others would be a compelling challenger to an incumbent Adobe

That said, there's more to consider before making a bet on this new IPO, in today's financial world

Additionally, Meanwhile, Adobe has a substantial reputational and incumbency advantage (which is quite significant)

In the fessional world and at the enterprise level, the Adobe software suite is substantially entrenched

Additionally, That's not to say it can't be disrupted, but it's an uphill climb

Additionally, both Figma and Adobe are building AI features into their ducts

Considering the cost of implementing AI, it's worth considering how much of a burden this would have on a smaller company Figma compared to the deeper-pocketed Adobe

Moreover, The bottom line for investors There's a case to be made that a web-based collaborative platform Figma is perfectly positioned to take from the entrenched Adobe

In that sense, the excitement around Figma's IPO makes sense

Buying s of Figma at its expected market cap of $13 billion puts a potentially longer runway for growth in front of the company (fascinating analysis)

Nevertheless, By comparison, Adobe's market cap is nearly $158 billion

Furthermore, In contrast, However, it's ly too early to declare the downfall of Adobe

Its incumbency advantage will be tough to disrupt, and as long as the race for AI continues, those spending requirements favor Adobe and its larger size and strong balance sheet.