AT&T Shares Have Sunk Despite a Subscriber Surge. Time to Buy the Dip?
Key Takeaways
The company should be a beneficiary of the "One Big, Beautiful Bill."
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Quick insights and key information
5 min read
Estimated completion
investment
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July 27, 2025
02:30 PM
The Motley Fool
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From an analytical perspective, 29%) has quietly been a great-performing stock over the past couple of years, but it has pulled back after the company failed to raise its guidance when it reported its second quarter results
Investors were expecting a hike after rival Verizon Communications did so a couple of days earlier, given the current landscape
Additionally, Let's look at AT&T's results to see if the pullback is a buying opportunity
Additionally, Strong r growth When it comes to wireless r growth, AT&T has taken advantage of a Verizon price hike earlier this year to gain customers, amid market uncertainty
However, In the second quarter, it added 479,000 retail postpaid rs, including 401,000 retail postpaid phone additions, in today's market environment
It did lose 34,000 prepaid rs, but that is generally viewed as a less important segment than rs who get a monthly bill, given the current landscape
Overall mobility-segment revenue increased 6
Mobility service revenue rose 3. 9 billion, while equipment sales surged 18
Additionally, 8% to $5 billion
Conversely, Postpaid phone average revenue per r (ARPU) edged up 1
Turning to broadband, AT&T added 243,000 fiber rs and 203,000 internet air rs (which is quite significant)
The company lost 93,000 non-fiber rs as they continued to switch to faster options (noteworthy indeed)
Broadband ARPU climbed by 7. 16, while fiber ARPU rose by 6, in this volatile climate
Total consumer broadband revenue was up 5, in this volatile climate
Nevertheless, Fiber will be a big focus for the company, with it looking to ramp up its investment to a pace of 4 million new locations per year
It just surpassed 30 million fiber locations and is looking to double that number by 2030, including through assets it has agreed to acquire, its Gigapower joint venture with BlackRock, and agreements it has with other commercial open-access viders
However, The investment in fiber will be helped by new tax visions in the "One Big, Beautiful Bill" that allow some assets to immediately be fully depreciated in the year they go into use
Image source: Getty Images On the downside, AT&T's wireline segment saw a 9 (an important development). 3% decrease in revenue to $4
On the other hand, The segment flipped from an operating fit of $102 million in the second quarter of last year to a loss of $201 million this year, given current economic conditions
Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) for the segment fell 11
Total revenue rose by 3, in light of current trends. 8 billion, while adjusted earnings per (EPS) jumped by 5 (noteworthy indeed)
Additionally, The results surpassed Wall Street expectations for adjusted EPS of $0. 52 on revenue of $30 (an important development)
AT&T generated $9 (an important development). 8 billion in operating cash flow, and free cash flow of $4, in this volatile climate
Nevertheless, Nevertheless, It paid out just over $2 billion in dividends, good for a coverage ratio of 2
Meanwhile, The company has held its quarterly dividend of $0, considering recent developments. 28 steady since May 2022, and the stock currently has a 4% forward dividend yield
Moreover, Looking ahead, the company largely kept its guidance intact, which was disappointing after Verizon raised its full-year EPS outlook
On the other hand, AT&T is looking for its mobility service revenue to grow by 3% or better, with adjusted EPS of between $1 (noteworthy indeed)
However, 07, which would be down from the $2. 26 it duced in 2024, in today's financial world
Moreover, It forecast free cash flow to be in the low to mid $16 billion range
Metric Prior Guidance New Guidance Mobility service revenue growth The higher end of 2% to 3% 3% or better Adjusted EPS $1. 07 Adjusted EBITDA 3% or better 3% or better Free cash flow $16 billion-plus In the low to mid $16 billion range Source: AT&T Further out, AT&T expects to spend between $23 billion to $24 billion a year on capital expenditures (capex) in both 2026 and 2027 (fascinating analysis)
Moreover, It jects that its free cash flow will be more than $18 billion in 2026 and more than $19 billion in 2027
Should investors buy the dip (noteworthy indeed)
AT&T has been taking it to Verizon in r additions, offering more-aggressive deals on smartphones and keeping prices lower than its rivals, while committing to strong network reliability, given current economic conditions
The data indicates that s overall second-quarter results were solid; however, investors were ly looking for the company to raise EPS guidance after Verizon increased its forecast and with the tax benefits it will see from the One Big, Beautiful Bill
But these tax benefits will eventually hit the bottom line, and the company is looking to take advantage of the bill to more aggressively grow its fiber network
That's a smart move given that Verizon is set to greatly expand its fiber network when it completes its acquisition of Frontier Communications next year, in today's market environment
In contrast, Also, 2026 could be the year of the bundle for wireless companies, and AT&T is looking to ramp up its fiber network to compete against what should become a stronger Verizon
Even with the stock's pullback, AT&T still trades at a large premium to Verizon (quite telling), amid market uncertainty
It has a forward price-to-earnings multiple (P/E) of 13, given current economic conditions. 5 based on 2025 earnings estimates, versus a forward P/E of 9 for Verizon
Until recently, Verizon historically had the higher multiple (which is quite significant), in today's market environment
Nevertheless, Given the valuation gap, its higher yield ( 6%), and Verizon's impending Frontier acquisition, I prefer it over AT&T
Additionally, Nonetheless, I think both can be strong long-term investments, and both should benefit from the One Big, Beautiful Bill, in today's financial world.
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