Apple's killer quarter buys more time for the company to deliver clarity on AI
Key Takeaways
Apple dered a solid June quarter Thursday evening, and the stock moved higher. However, the lack of any real artificial intelligence strategy tempered investor enthusiasm. The stock remains an AI...
Article Overview
Quick insights and key information
8 min read
Estimated completion
investment
Article classification
August 1, 2025
12:53 AM
CNBC
Original publisher
Apple dered a solid June quarter Thursday evening, and the stock moved higher
However, the lack of any real artificial intelligence strategy tempered investor enthusiasm
The stock remains an AI "show me" story — and in a market currently being powered by the AI trade, that's all anyone really cares
Revenue in Apple's fiscal 2025 third quarter, which in June, rose 10% year over year to $94.04 billion, outpacing the $89.5 billion consensus estimate compiled by LSEG
It was the company's biggest growth in quarterly revenue since December 2021
Earnings per (EPS) increased 12% in the quarter to $1.57, better than the $1.43 consensus estimate, according to LSEG
The strong performance comes even as Apple saw a roughly $800 million drag due to tariff-related costs
That was $100 million less than Apple CEO Tim Cook had estimated back in May
On Thursday evening's post-earnings call, Cook jected a $1.1 billion negative effect from tariffs in the September quarter, assuming no changes
Why we own it Apple's dominant hardware and growing services es vide a deep competitive moat and plenty of bundling opportunities
Management's net cash-neutral strategy vides confidence that free cash flow will continue to fund dividends and buybacks
Competitors: Samsung, Huawei, Xiaomi, OPPO, Dell , and HP Inc
Most recent buy : April 8, 2014 Initiation : Dec. 2, 2013 Bottom line Both sides of Apple's — ducts and services — saw June quarter revenue and gross income come in better than expected and higher year over year
Apple once again achieved a new all-time high for its installed base of active devices in all duct and across all geographic regions
Services, meanwhile, set a new record with better-than-expected gross margin performance
Remember, a small miss on services revenue in the March quarter hit the stock pretty hard at the time
So, it was nice to see services turn
On the call, Cook said the company saw growth accelerate in the "vast majority of " that Apple tracks, including Greater China and many emerging
Moreover, he noted that the company set June quarter revenue records in over 24 countries and regions, "including the U.S., Canada, Latin America, Western Europe, the Middle East, India and South Asia." Regarding China, it's that the Chinese consumer still loves Apple, with iPhone sales accelerating sequentially to set a new record installed base
Mainland China set a June quarter record for iPhone upgrades, and according to consumer data tracking service Worldpanel, formerly Kantar, the iPhone held the top three spots in urban China
MacBook Air was the top-selling laptop in China during the June quarter, while the Mac Mini was the top-selling desktop there
Cook also touched on AI, reaffirming his view that it is "one of the most found nologies of our lifetime." He added that Apple Intelligence is being integrated across the company's various platforms, and the company is "significantly growing" its investments in the nology
There, unfortunately, was not much of an beyond what we already know
However, Cook said the team continues to make gress on a more personalized Siri, with plans for a launch of the d personal assistant sometime next year
He also said, "We're open to M & A that accelerates our roadmap." That statement did not directly address reports back in June that Apple held internal discussions whether to make an offer to buy AI startup Perplexity
But Cook saying that Apple is open to bringing in help is a welcome sign
AAPL YTD mountain Apple YTD Given the strength of the report and what appears to be a better-than-expected outlook for the current September quarter, it was no surprise to see the stock trading more than 2% higher in the after-hours session
That said, it's a relatively muted move, given the positive results and the stock's year-to-date decline of 17% as of Thursday's close
The S & P 500 has gained nearly 8% in 2025
In our view, this is ly a reflection of investors being hesitant to get more optimistic on the stock until we get more clarity on Apple's AI initiatives
While we fully understand that view, we too want more clarity on the road map for Apple Intelligence and would love to one day wake up to news that Apple has struck a deal to acquire Perplexity, results this are a reminder of why investors should stick with Apple though times this, even if it's not yet time to recommend the stock as a buy
Apple is rarely the first to adopt new , choosing instead to take its time, see what's out there and how consumers are responding, and then release a more refined version
Should that be the case again this time, and Apple does indeed come to market with the kind of AI features we should all expect from a company of this caliber, then it can instantly push the to its legion of loyal users with a simple software and become a serious player in personal AI
We know Meta Platforms is looking to create a more personal AI, however, given the deep connection Apple users have with their iPhone and other devices, we still think Apple has a real opportunity to lead here
The company just needs to execute
While AI execution, thus far, has left something to be desired, betting against Cook over the long term has truly been a loser's gamble
We think that will ve true again
However, until we do get more clarity on the AI roadmap and a timeline for a real upgrade to turn Siri into a conversational, blem-solving digital assistant, we have no choice but to maintain our hold-equivalent 2 rating
We're also keeping our price target on the stock at $240 per , roughly 16% upside to Thursday's close but still 8% below its record-high close of $259 on Dec. 26, 2024. ary Looking at the ducts portfolio, the iPhone, which shipped its three billionth device since launch during the quarter, set a June quarter sales record of $44.58 billion
That was up 13.5% from last year and better than expected
Growth was seen in all geographic segments, with double-digit percentage growth in emerging including India, the Middle East, South Asia, and Brazil
Apple dered a June quarter record for iPhone, Mac, and Apple Watch upgrades
While Mac sales rose nearly 15% in the quarter and beat estimates, the iPad, as well as wearables, and accessories segments declined year over year and missed
Services achieved a new all-time sales record, growing double digits in both developed and emerging a
Services revenue rose more than 13% to $27.42 billion
Cloud services sales accelerated sequentially to a new all-time revenue record, driven by strength in iCloud
Apple TV+ viewership was up double digits versus the year-ago period
App Store revenue was also up double digits year over year, setting a June quarter record
Additionally, Parekh called out a new all-time high for both transacting and pair accounts
Outlook While Apple doesn't vide formal guidance, management said that September quarter revenue is expected to increase by mid-to-high single digits versus the year ago period
That sounds in-line to better than the 3.3% year-over-year growth the Street was looking for, according to LSEG
Services revenue is expected to grow at a year-over-year rate similar to the more than 13% increase in the June quarter
The Street was expecting to see 11% growth in the September quarter versus the year-ago period
So, this also appears to be in-line to better than expected
Gross margin for the September quarter is expected to be in a range of 46% to 47%, which would be better than the 45.7% expected, according to FactSet
This includes the estimated $1.1 billion tariff-related headwind mentioned earlier
Management expects September quarter operating expenses to be between $15.6 billion and $15.8 billion, a bit higher than expectations of $15.4 billion, according to FactSet
This guidance assumes no deterioration in macroeconomic conditions and no changes in global tariff rates, policies or enforcement
It also assumes Apple's revenue agreement with Google remains intact
The king's ransom paid Apple for Google priority has been called into question due to the government's antitrust case against Alphabet
Capital allocation Apple the March quarter with $133 billion in cash and marketable securities
Excluding debt, net cash was $31 billion
During the quarter, Apple returned over $27 billion to holders, including $3.9 billion in dividends and equivalents and another $21 billion via repurchases. (Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust is long AAPL, META, GOOGL
See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a r to the CNBC with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade
Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio
If Jim has talked a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade
THE ABOVE INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER
NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION VIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE
NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR FIT IS GUARANTEED.
Related Articles
More insights from FinancialBooklet