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A GM Turnaround Takes Shape in a Brutal Market. Will It Catch Ford?

July 11, 2025
08:00 AM
4 min read
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"I think you have to see the [Detroit Three] exit China as soon as they possibly can. " -- John Murphy That was what the Bank of America Securities analyst...

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investment

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July 11, 2025

08:00 AM

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"I think you have to see the [Detroit Three] exit China as soon as they possibly can. " -- John Murphy That was what the Bank of America Securities analyst said at his highly regarded presentation of "Car Wars. " The kicker is that this strong suggestion was made almost exactly a year ago, and the automotive market in China has only deteriorated further due to a lack of demand, excess duction capacity, and a brutal price war

But General Motors (GM -0. 19%) and Ford Motor Company (F -1. 34%) have decided to buckle up and fight on, and there's recent data to suggest that GM is moving in the right direction

Let's take a closer look

Hello and goodbye As China's market for new energy vehicles (NEVs) -- a category that includes full battery-electric, hybrid, and fuel cell electric vehicles -- expanded rapidly in recent years on the back of a blossoming domestic automaking industry focused on electric vehicles (EVs), foreign automakers were mostly left in the dust

General Motors was still a juggernaut in China as recently as 2017, when its sales there peaked at 4. 04 million vehicles

China once generated $2 billion in annual income for GM

But last year, GM dered only 1. 8 million vehicles in China and only posted a fit in the fourth quarter

That's a pretty steep slide in less than a decade

Instead of making a hard exit from China, though, GM went to work

It recorded a roughly $4 billion restructuring charge during the fourth quarter as it acted to shake up its operations

GM focused on reducing inventory significantly, implementing effective cost-cutting measures, and imving its duct competitiveness in a market craving more NEVs

The results so far The early signs point to solid imvements from the Detroit automaker

During the second quarter, GM's sales jumped 20% compared to the prior-year period to more than 447,000

That was the largest jump in GM's quarterly sales in China since the first quarter of 2021 -- a time when the auto market was rebounding from the early part of the COVID-19 pandemic

Without specifying what models drove the increase, GM noted that deries of electrified vehicles from its two joint ventures surged 50% year over year

Including GM's gains from the first quarter, the automaker's sales are up 9. 4% to 890,000 year-to-date

That boost in sales should help GM toward its goal of becoming fitable in China for the year

While Ford has been a little less transparent how its China operations are faring since it largely stopped out financial data by region, it has managed pretty well

While GM was struggling to duce quarterly fits in the country, Ford's China arm generated $900 million in earnings before interest and taxes in 2024

Ford's Mustang in China

Image source: Ford Motor Company

One thing investors have to remember is that a large part of Ford's China strategy now involves manufacturing vehicles there for export to other

One of its more important models in this strategy is the Lincoln Nautilus, which Ford exports from China to the U

That money-maker will face a little ding thanks to President Donald Trump's tariffs on automotive imports

The biggest thing to note for investors who have ed Ford or GM for even a few years is that China is no longer the mised land that many had hoped

At one point, analysts expected that China would become Detroit's second primary pillar of fits behind the lucrative North American market

If that has been part of your investment thesis for either GM or Ford, it's officially time to remove it

The kinds of sales and fits that Detroit automakers achieved in China roughly a decade ago are ly gone for good

Daniel Miller has positions in Ford Motor Company and General Motors

The Motley Fool recommends General Motors

The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.