A GM Turnaround Takes Shape in a Brutal Market. Will It Catch Ford?
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"I think you have to see the [Detroit Three] exit China as soon as they possibly can. " -- John Murphy That was what the Bank of America Securities analyst...
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July 11, 2025
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"I think you have to see the [Detroit Three] exit China as soon as they possibly can. " -- John Murphy That was what the Bank of America Securities analyst said at his highly regarded presentation of "Car Wars. " The kicker is that this strong suggestion was made almost exactly a year ago, and the automotive market in China has only deteriorated further due to a lack of demand, excess duction capacity, and a brutal price war
But General Motors (GM -0. 19%) and Ford Motor Company (F -1. 34%) have decided to buckle up and fight on, and there's recent data to suggest that GM is moving in the right direction
Let's take a closer look
Hello and goodbye As China's market for new energy vehicles (NEVs) -- a category that includes full battery-electric, hybrid, and fuel cell electric vehicles -- expanded rapidly in recent years on the back of a blossoming domestic automaking industry focused on electric vehicles (EVs), foreign automakers were mostly left in the dust
General Motors was still a juggernaut in China as recently as 2017, when its sales there peaked at 4. 04 million vehicles
China once generated $2 billion in annual income for GM
But last year, GM dered only 1. 8 million vehicles in China and only posted a fit in the fourth quarter
That's a pretty steep slide in less than a decade
Instead of making a hard exit from China, though, GM went to work
It recorded a roughly $4 billion restructuring charge during the fourth quarter as it acted to shake up its operations
GM focused on reducing inventory significantly, implementing effective cost-cutting measures, and imving its duct competitiveness in a market craving more NEVs
The results so far The early signs point to solid imvements from the Detroit automaker
During the second quarter, GM's sales jumped 20% compared to the prior-year period to more than 447,000
That was the largest jump in GM's quarterly sales in China since the first quarter of 2021 -- a time when the auto market was rebounding from the early part of the COVID-19 pandemic
Without specifying what models drove the increase, GM noted that deries of electrified vehicles from its two joint ventures surged 50% year over year
Including GM's gains from the first quarter, the automaker's sales are up 9. 4% to 890,000 year-to-date
That boost in sales should help GM toward its goal of becoming fitable in China for the year
While Ford has been a little less transparent how its China operations are faring since it largely stopped out financial data by region, it has managed pretty well
While GM was struggling to duce quarterly fits in the country, Ford's China arm generated $900 million in earnings before interest and taxes in 2024
Ford's Mustang in China
Image source: Ford Motor Company
One thing investors have to remember is that a large part of Ford's China strategy now involves manufacturing vehicles there for export to other
One of its more important models in this strategy is the Lincoln Nautilus, which Ford exports from China to the U
That money-maker will face a little ding thanks to President Donald Trump's tariffs on automotive imports
The biggest thing to note for investors who have ed Ford or GM for even a few years is that China is no longer the mised land that many had hoped
At one point, analysts expected that China would become Detroit's second primary pillar of fits behind the lucrative North American market
If that has been part of your investment thesis for either GM or Ford, it's officially time to remove it
The kinds of sales and fits that Detroit automakers achieved in China roughly a decade ago are ly gone for good
Daniel Miller has positions in Ford Motor Company and General Motors
The Motley Fool recommends General Motors
The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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