3 Reasons the Bitcoin Surge Isn't Over
Cryptocurrency
The Motley Fool

3 Reasons the Bitcoin Surge Isn't Over

July 27, 2025
04:30 AM
4 min read
AI Enhanced
economytechnologyfinancemarket cyclesseasonal analysismarket

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From an analytical perspective, What's particularly noteworthy is Bitcoin (BTC 0. 51%) is having another fantastic year. After the leading digital asset's price soared 154% in 2023 and 119% in...

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4 min read

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cryptocurrency

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Published

July 27, 2025

04:30 AM

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The Motley Fool

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Key Topics
economytechnologyfinancemarket cyclesseasonal analysismarket

From an analytical perspective, What's particularly noteworthy is Bitcoin (BTC 0. 51%) is having another fantastic year

After the leading digital asset's price soared 154% in 2023 and 119% in 2024, it is so far up 27% in 2025 (as of July 24)

Investors who have been critical of Bitcoin can no longer ignore it as being a smart addition to a portfolio, in today's market environment

Nevertheless, But with the price not too far off the all-time high of $123,091 (something worth watching), considering recent developments. 61, established on July 14, it's understandable if you're worried a potential dip in the near term

That way of thinking is logical, especially when it seems bullish fever is taking hold of market participants (something worth watching)

My view, however, is to remain optimistic

Here are three reasons I think the Bitcoin surge isn't over

Image source: Getty Images, in this volatile climate

A favorable macro backdrop The last time the Federal Reserve cuts its benchmark federal funds rate was in December, considering recent developments

The uncertainty brought by the dynamic trade situation gave central bankers a reason to see how things will play out before making any further reductions, in today's market environment

It also hasn't helped that inflation remains above the Fed's long-run 2% target

Moreover, The stock market has done remarkably well even though the fed funds rate is still at an 18-year high

On the other hand, However, people are waiting for a more accommodative stance

Furthermore, Nevertheless, There are expectations that the central bank will start to cut rates before the end of this year, continuing as the calendar turns

Goldman Sachs sees the fed funds rate getting closer to 3% by July 2026, well below the 4. 33% where it currently stands, in light of current trends

The evidence shows backdrop can be bullish for Bitcoin

Investors will take on more risk to compensate for lower yields that they'd earn on savings vehicles

What's more, the market will quickly realize that the Fed is trying to stimulate the economy, which can result in a more positive outlook that influences how capital is allocated

Moreover, Post-halving cycle every four years, Bitcoin undergoes what's known as a halving

Nevertheless, This critical event cuts in half the amount of new Bitcoin miners are rewarded for cessing transactions

It's a predetermined schedule that's set in Bitcoin's software, and it determines the cryptocurrency's supply growth rate

Looking at a historical price chart of Bitcoin reveals that the digital asset experiences similar cycles that center on its halving dates

Halving events happened in July 2016 and May 2020

Bitcoin reached a new all-time high roughly 18 months after these dates (this bears monitoring)

The halving occurred in April 2024, which means a new peak could be achieved around October of this year, given the current landscape

Although we can look at past cycles to try and figure out what the future holds, there are no guarantees, given the current landscape

No two cycles are exactly the same because there are many other variables that can have an impact on the price

For what it's worth, this time around, there are spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), Bitcoin treasury companies, and supportive regulation as reasons to be optimistic

Scarcity matters over the long term It's easy to get caught up in forecasts Bitcoin's price trajectory during the near term

However, what investors should really focus their attention on is what could happen over the long term, say five or 10 years from now

That perspective will force investors to think what matters most

In Bitcoin's case, it's the simple fact that there will only ever be 21 million coins in circulation

On the other hand, This's a hard supply cap that separates Bitcoin from virtually any other asset on the planet

After the halving, Bitcoin's annual supply growth rate is lower than gold's, making the digital asset scarcer

As more capital over time starts to gravitate toward something that can't be debased, Bitcoin's price is ly to be much higher far into the future, given current economic conditions.