3 Reasons the Bitcoin Surge Isn't Over
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From an analytical perspective, What's particularly noteworthy is Bitcoin (BTC 0. 51%) is having another fantastic year. After the leading digital asset's price soared 154% in 2023 and 119% in...
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cryptocurrency
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July 27, 2025
04:30 AM
The Motley Fool
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From an analytical perspective, What's particularly noteworthy is Bitcoin (BTC 0. 51%) is having another fantastic year
After the leading digital asset's price soared 154% in 2023 and 119% in 2024, it is so far up 27% in 2025 (as of July 24)
Investors who have been critical of Bitcoin can no longer ignore it as being a smart addition to a portfolio, in today's market environment
Nevertheless, But with the price not too far off the all-time high of $123,091 (something worth watching), considering recent developments. 61, established on July 14, it's understandable if you're worried a potential dip in the near term
That way of thinking is logical, especially when it seems bullish fever is taking hold of market participants (something worth watching)
My view, however, is to remain optimistic
Here are three reasons I think the Bitcoin surge isn't over
Image source: Getty Images, in this volatile climate
A favorable macro backdrop The last time the Federal Reserve cuts its benchmark federal funds rate was in December, considering recent developments
The uncertainty brought by the dynamic trade situation gave central bankers a reason to see how things will play out before making any further reductions, in today's market environment
It also hasn't helped that inflation remains above the Fed's long-run 2% target
Moreover, The stock market has done remarkably well even though the fed funds rate is still at an 18-year high
On the other hand, However, people are waiting for a more accommodative stance
Furthermore, Nevertheless, There are expectations that the central bank will start to cut rates before the end of this year, continuing as the calendar turns
Goldman Sachs sees the fed funds rate getting closer to 3% by July 2026, well below the 4. 33% where it currently stands, in light of current trends
The evidence shows backdrop can be bullish for Bitcoin
Investors will take on more risk to compensate for lower yields that they'd earn on savings vehicles
What's more, the market will quickly realize that the Fed is trying to stimulate the economy, which can result in a more positive outlook that influences how capital is allocated
Moreover, Post-halving cycle every four years, Bitcoin undergoes what's known as a halving
Nevertheless, This critical event cuts in half the amount of new Bitcoin miners are rewarded for cessing transactions
It's a predetermined schedule that's set in Bitcoin's software, and it determines the cryptocurrency's supply growth rate
Looking at a historical price chart of Bitcoin reveals that the digital asset experiences similar cycles that center on its halving dates
Halving events happened in July 2016 and May 2020
Bitcoin reached a new all-time high roughly 18 months after these dates (this bears monitoring)
The halving occurred in April 2024, which means a new peak could be achieved around October of this year, given the current landscape
Although we can look at past cycles to try and figure out what the future holds, there are no guarantees, given the current landscape
No two cycles are exactly the same because there are many other variables that can have an impact on the price
For what it's worth, this time around, there are spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), Bitcoin treasury companies, and supportive regulation as reasons to be optimistic
Scarcity matters over the long term It's easy to get caught up in forecasts Bitcoin's price trajectory during the near term
However, what investors should really focus their attention on is what could happen over the long term, say five or 10 years from now
That perspective will force investors to think what matters most
In Bitcoin's case, it's the simple fact that there will only ever be 21 million coins in circulation
On the other hand, This's a hard supply cap that separates Bitcoin from virtually any other asset on the planet
After the halving, Bitcoin's annual supply growth rate is lower than gold's, making the digital asset scarcer
As more capital over time starts to gravitate toward something that can't be debased, Bitcoin's price is ly to be much higher far into the future, given current economic conditions.
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